Sha Tin · 2025-02-12 · 11:20
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2025-02-12 was Class 5 over 1200m. PATCH OF WATCH, ridden by P N Wong and trained by K L Man, won by 3/4, with CHEER FOR SOUTH second and SPEEDY SMARTIE third. The 4.2 favourite SPEEDY SMARTIE finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | PATCH OF WATCH B/TT 1.10.81 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 10 | 4.7 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | CHEER FOR SOUTH PC M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 8 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | SPEEDY SMARTIE CP1/TT L Ferraris · T P Yung | L Ferraris | T P Yung | 4 | 4.2 | 6 |
| 4 | 4 | SONIC BOOM TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 2 | 5.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | WIND SPEEDER B A Atzeni · Y S Tsui | A Atzeni | Y S Tsui | 1 | 9.6 | 7 |
| 6 | 8 | SUPER JOY B-/XB-/H1/TT- B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 6 | 42.0 | 7 |
| 7 | 3 | SUPER ELITE B-/H-/XB/V1 K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 5 | 11.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | FLYING DRAGON B2/TT- H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 11 | 18.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | SKY PROPHET B2/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 9 | 8.7 | 10-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | STRIVE FOR GLORY P/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 12 | 20.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | PHILOS B/H/TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz | A Hamelin | A S Cruz | 3 | 46.0 | 17-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | CAMP FIRE SR/TT K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 7 | 53.0 | 18 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | PATCH OF WATCH | 21.3% | 4.70 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | SPEEDY SMARTIE | 13.0% | 7.70 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | SONIC BOOM | 12.7% | 7.88 | 4 |
| 4 | 9 | CHEER FOR SOUTH | 12.6% | 7.94 | 2 |
| 5 | 12 | WIND SPEEDER | 9.4% | 10.67 | 5 |
| 6 | 3 | SUPER ELITE | 7.0% | 14.32 | 7 |
| 7 | 2 | SKY PROPHET | 6.4% | 15.66 | 9 |
| 8 | 6 | FLYING DRAGON | 5.8% | 17.16 | 8 |
| 9 | 1 | CAMP FIRE | 3.4% | 29.52 | 12 |
| 10 | 8 | SUPER JOY | 3.3% | 29.92 | 6 |
| 11 | 11 | PHILOS | 2.7% | 36.66 | 11 |
| 12 | 7 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 2.4% | 41.42 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 47.5
PLACE
5 16
9 31.5
10 21.5
QUINELLA
9,10 290.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 81
5,10 56
9,10 97
FORECAST
10,9 576
TIERCE
10,9,5 2,403
TRIO
5,9,10 450
FIRST 4
4,5,9,10 301
QUARTET
10,9,5,4 8,989
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
11/9 77.5
11/10 257