Sha Tin · 2025-02-12 · 20:16
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | CHARMING STEED Closed strongly TT 1.50.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K De Melo · C Fownes | K De Melo | C Fownes | 13 | 20.0 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | FOREVER FOLKS Closed strongly B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 3 | 6.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY TT B Avdulla · F C Lor | B Avdulla | F C Lor | 8 | 5.4 | 4-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | VIVA CHALEUR Closed strongly H/PC/TT L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 5 | 5.7 | 6-1/2 |
| 5 | 13 | PERFECT PAIRING Closed strongly B-/PC1 M F Poon · J Size | M F Poon | J Size | 7 | 24.0 | 10 |
| 6 | 5 | S J TOURBILLON SR2/TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 2 | 27.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | RED MAJESTY Led early B/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 12 | 34.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | RELIABLE PROFIT Closed strongly P/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 11 | 2.9 | 21-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | BABY SATELLITE TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 9 | 65.0 | 22-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | TO INFINITY Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · J Richards | M Chadwick | J Richards | 14 | 58.0 | 22-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | ACE WAR XB A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 1 | 66.0 | 32 |
| 12 | 12 | MULTIBINGO H/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 4 | 66.0 | 55 |
| — | 8 | SNOWALOT B-/CP1 P N Wong · D A Hayes | P N Wong | D A Hayes | 6 | 16.0 | — |
| — | 10 | ALL ARE MINE H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 10 | 14.0 | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2025-02-12 was Class 4 over 1800m. CHARMING STEED, ridden by K De Melo and trained by C Fownes, won by 2, with FOREVER FOLKS second and GLORIOUS JOURNEY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite RELIABLE PROFIT finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | RELIABLE PROFIT | 33.3% | 3.00 | 8 |
| 2 | 7 | VIVA CHALEUR | 15.0% | 6.65 | 4 |
| 3 | 9 | FOREVER FOLKS | 10.9% | 9.15 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY | 10.2% | 9.81 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | RED MAJESTY | 6.2% | 16.07 | 7 |
| 6 | 13 | PERFECT PAIRING | 5.9% | 16.89 | 5 |
| 7 | 14 | CHARMING STEED | 5.4% | 18.51 | 1 |
| 8 | 6 | TO INFINITY | 4.0% | 25.03 | 10 |
| 9 | 5 | S J TOURBILLON | 3.4% | 29.62 | 6 |
| 10 | 12 | MULTIBINGO | 2.3% | 43.37 | 12 |
| 11 | 4 | ACE WAR | 1.9% | 53.21 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | BABY SATELLITE | 1.4% | 71.52 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
14 201.5
PLACE
1 23
9 17.5
14 50
QUINELLA
9,14 504
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 62
1,14 188
9,14 137
FORECAST
14,9 1,309
TIERCE
14,9,1 8,904
TRIO
1,9,14 1,289
FIRST 4
1,7,9,14 1,439
QUARTET
14,9,1,7 46,568
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
11/9 176
11/14 1,923.5