Sha Tin · 2025-02-12 · 14:30
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-02-12 was Class 3 over 1200m. MUST GO, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by J Size, won by HD, with MOJAVE DESERT second and SELF IMPROVEMENT third. The 3.7 favourite MOJAVE DESERT finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | MUST GO E/PC/TT 1.10.14 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 7 | 5.1 | HD |
| 2 | 9 | MOJAVE DESERT XB L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 1 | 3.7 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | SELF IMPROVEMENT B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 9 | 24.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | GALAXY WITNESS B2/TT B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 4 | 9.8 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | PACKING BOLE CP/TT P N Wong · C S Shum | P N Wong | C S Shum | 11 | 7.1 | 5 |
| 6 | 7 | MONTA FRUTTA H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 6 | 23.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | MASK RIDER TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 2 | 6.4 | 8-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | SHINYU KOKOROE K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 8 | 16.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | WONDERSTAR B E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | 10 | 87.0 | 13 |
| 10 | 11 | UP WITH CHARM B A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 12 | 156.0 | 37-1/2 |
| — | 6 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS B Thompson · T P Yung | B Thompson | T P Yung | — | — | — |
| — | 12 | DRAGON AIR FORCE TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 3 | 5.2 | HD |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MASK RIDER | 39.0% | 2.56 | 7 |
| 2 | 9 | MOJAVE DESERT | 21.0% | 4.76 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | MUST GO | 9.7% | 10.31 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | PACKING BOLE | 7.1% | 14.11 | 5 |
| 5 | 8 | SHINYU KOKOROE | 6.0% | 16.70 | 8 |
| 6 | 7 | MONTA FRUTTA | 5.5% | 18.34 | 6 |
| 7 | 5 | GALAXY WITNESS | 5.4% | 18.37 | 4 |
| 8 | 1 | SELF IMPROVEMENT | 4.0% | 24.83 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | WONDERSTAR | 1.7% | 57.34 | 9 |
| 10 | 11 | UP WITH CHARM | 0.6% | 179.55 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 51
PLACE
9 14.5
10 17
12 17.5
QUINELLA
10,12 134
QUINELLA PLACE
9,10 38
9,12 30
10,12 49
FORECAST
10,12 310
TIERCE
10,12,9 776
TRIO
9,10,12 128
FIRST 4
1,9,10,12 414
QUARTET
10,12,9,1 10,265
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
5/10 465
5/12 98.5