沙田 · 2025-02-23 · 05:05
第 1場
2025-02-23沙田第1場，Class 4，途程1400米。由K De Melo策騎、W Y So訓練的CARRYON SMILING勝出，贏出N。MAX QUE獲得亞軍；EXCEL WONGCHOY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.4倍大熱門SHAMUS STORM跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | CARRYON SMILING 後段發力 CP/TT 1.21.99 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 11 | 84.0 | N |
| 2 | 12 | MAX QUE 後段發力 B-/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 6 | 10.0 | N |
| 3 | 3 | EXCEL WONGCHOY 後段發力 H/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 14 | 27.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | ETALON OR 早段領放 B/TT1 A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 12 | 3.3 | 2 |
| 5 | 13 | VIEW ALL THINGS 後段發力 TT- M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 3 | 103.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | HAPPY UNIVERSE P R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 7 | 110.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | LAKESHORE HERO B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 4 | 9.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | SHAMUS STORM A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 1 | 2.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | FLYING WROTE H/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 9 | 30.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 6 | DREAMING WINNER H/TT L Hewitson · F C Lor | L Hewitson | F C Lor | 2 | 12.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | HAPPY SHOOTER B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 10 | 38.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | LESLIE B P N Wong · C W Chang | P N Wong | C W Chang | 8 | 25.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 8 | MANAPHY TT1 B Shinn · W K Mo | B Shinn | W K Mo | 5 | 25.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 14 | 1 | TOP PEAK TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 13 | 42.0 | 19-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | ETALON OR | 20.3% | 4.93 | 4 |
| 2 | 11 | LAKESHORE HERO | 16.9% | 5.92 | 7 |
| 3 | 7 | SHAMUS STORM | 15.7% | 6.36 | 8 |
| 4 | 6 | DREAMING WINNER | 11.7% | 8.53 | 10 |
| 5 | 8 | MANAPHY | 6.5% | 15.33 | 13 |
| 6 | 12 | MAX QUE | 6.2% | 16.19 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | FLYING WROTE | 5.1% | 19.64 | 9 |
| 8 | 5 | LESLIE | 3.8% | 26.10 | 12 |
| 9 | 3 | EXCEL WONGCHOY | 3.6% | 27.41 | 3 |
| 10 | 1 | TOP PEAK | 3.2% | 31.10 | 14 |
| 11 | 10 | HAPPY UNIVERSE | 2.3% | 44.04 | 6 |
| 12 | 13 | VIEW ALL THINGS | 2.0% | 50.46 | 5 |
| 13 | 9 | HAPPY SHOOTER | 1.5% | 67.51 | 11 |
| 14 | 14 | CARRYON SMILING | 1.1% | 88.03 | 1 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
14 847
PLACE
3 54
12 27
14 149
QUINELLA
12,14 3,392.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,12 259.5
3,14 1,458.5
12,14 736.5
FORECAST
14,12 7,768
TIERCE
14,12,3 172,553
TRIO
3,12,14 18,026
FIRST 4
2,3,12,14 11,572
QUARTET
14,12,3,2 655,569