Sha Tin · 2025-02-23 · 13:02
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | CARRYON SMILING Closed strongly CP/TT 1.21.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 11 | 84.0 | N |
| 2 | 12 | MAX QUE Closed strongly B-/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 6 | 10.0 | N |
| 3 | 3 | EXCEL WONGCHOY Closed strongly H/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 14 | 27.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | ETALON OR Led early B/TT1 A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 12 | 3.3 | 2 |
| 5 | 13 | VIEW ALL THINGS Closed strongly TT- M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 3 | 103.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | HAPPY UNIVERSE P R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 7 | 110.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | LAKESHORE HERO B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 4 | 9.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | SHAMUS STORM A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 1 | 2.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | FLYING WROTE H/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 9 | 30.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 6 | DREAMING WINNER H/TT L Hewitson · F C Lor | L Hewitson | F C Lor | 2 | 12.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | HAPPY SHOOTER B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 10 | 38.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | LESLIE B P N Wong · C W Chang | P N Wong | C W Chang | 8 | 25.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 8 | MANAPHY TT1 B Shinn · W K Mo | B Shinn | W K Mo | 5 | 25.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 14 | 1 | TOP PEAK TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 13 | 42.0 | 19-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-02-23 was Class 4 over 1400m. CARRYON SMILING, ridden by K De Melo and trained by W Y So, won by N, with MAX QUE second and EXCEL WONGCHOY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite SHAMUS STORM finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | ETALON OR | 20.3% | 4.93 | 4 |
| 2 | 11 | LAKESHORE HERO | 16.9% | 5.92 | 7 |
| 3 | 7 | SHAMUS STORM | 15.7% | 6.36 | 8 |
| 4 | 6 | DREAMING WINNER | 11.7% | 8.53 | 10 |
| 5 | 8 | MANAPHY | 6.5% | 15.33 | 13 |
| 6 | 12 | MAX QUE | 6.2% | 16.19 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | FLYING WROTE | 5.1% | 19.64 | 9 |
| 8 | 5 | LESLIE | 3.8% | 26.10 | 12 |
| 9 | 3 | EXCEL WONGCHOY | 3.6% | 27.41 | 3 |
| 10 | 1 | TOP PEAK | 3.2% | 31.10 | 14 |
| 11 | 10 | HAPPY UNIVERSE | 2.3% | 44.04 | 6 |
| 12 | 13 | VIEW ALL THINGS | 2.0% | 50.46 | 5 |
| 13 | 9 | HAPPY SHOOTER | 1.5% | 67.51 | 11 |
| 14 | 14 | CARRYON SMILING | 1.1% | 88.03 | 1 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
14 847
PLACE
3 54
12 27
14 149
QUINELLA
12,14 3,392.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,12 259.5
3,14 1,458.5
12,14 736.5
FORECAST
14,12 7,768
TIERCE
14,12,3 172,553
TRIO
3,12,14 18,026
FIRST 4
2,3,12,14 11,572
QUARTET
14,12,3,2 655,569