Sha Tin · 2025-02-23 · 08:10
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-02-23 was Group 1 over 2000m. VOYAGE BUBBLE, ridden by J McDonald and trained by P F Yiu, won by 3-3/4, with ENSUED second and CHANCHENG GLORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.3 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | VOYAGE BUBBLE Closed strongly CP 2.00.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · P F Yiu | J McDonald | P F Yiu | 1 | 1.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | ENSUED Closed strongly K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 6 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | CHANCHENG GLORY Led early B/XB H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 7 | 16.0 | 5 |
| 4 | 10 | WINNING DRAGON TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 3 | 47.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 4 | 48.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | LA CITY BLANCHE Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 2 | 86.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | STRAIGHT ARRON Closed strongly XB L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 9 | 56.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 2 | GALAXY PATCH B Shinn · P C Ng | B Shinn | P C Ng | 5 | 4.1 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | FIVE G PATCH Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 10 | 73.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | SWORD POINT CP- A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 8 | 146.0 | 11-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | VOYAGE BUBBLE | 59.4% | 1.68 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | GALAXY PATCH | 10.3% | 9.70 | 8 |
| 3 | 4 | ENSUED | 8.1% | 12.37 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | CHANCHENG GLORY | 6.7% | 14.96 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | HAPPY TOGETHER | 3.0% | 32.84 | 5 |
| 6 | 8 | LA CITY BLANCHE | 3.0% | 33.81 | 6 |
| 7 | 9 | SWORD POINT | 2.8% | 35.50 | 10 |
| 8 | 6 | STRAIGHT ARRON | 2.6% | 39.09 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | WINNING DRAGON | 2.5% | 39.50 | 4 |
| 10 | 7 | FIVE G PATCH | 1.6% | 61.82 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 13.5
PLACE
1 10.1
3 22
4 21.5
QUINELLA
1,4 86.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 26
1,4 28.5
3,4 110.5
FORECAST
1,4 95
TIERCE
1,4,3 313
TRIO
1,3,4 165
FIRST 4
1,3,4,10 688
QUARTET
1,4,3,10 4,433
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
11/1 63
11/4 92.5