Sha Tin · 2025-02-23 · 09:20
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2025-02-23 was Class 3 over 1400m. BRILLIANT EXPRESS, ridden by A Badel and trained by J Size, won by 2-3/4, with TAMRA BLITZ second and BEAUTY CRESCENT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | BRILLIANT EXPRESS Closed strongly 1.20.81 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 10 | 4.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | TAMRA BLITZ Closed strongly H/SR H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 7 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | BEAUTY CRESCENT Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 9 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | WINNING GOLD Closed strongly TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 6 | 9.4 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | YUEN LONG ELITE Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · K L Man | L Hewitson | K L Man | 11 | 4.9 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | SOLID WIN Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 1 | 4.6 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | SUPER JOY N FUN Led early XB/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 13.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | CHAIN OF GOLD CP/H/TT H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 2 | 24.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | RISING FROM ASHES B/TT K De Melo · C W Chang | K De Melo | C W Chang | 3 | 38.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 14 | TIMES TABLE Closed strongly P B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 5 | 98.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 13 | STELLAR SWIFT Closed strongly B/TT A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 14 | 12.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | KEMPES H1 J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 8 | 48.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 1 | SUPERB BOY B-/TT L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 13 | 45.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 9 | MR VIGOR TT D McDonogh · C S Shum | D McDonogh | C S Shum | 12 | 171.0 | 18-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SOLID WIN | 22.6% | 4.43 | 6 |
| 2 | 11 | BRILLIANT EXPRESS | 21.5% | 4.65 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | YUEN LONG ELITE | 13.5% | 7.40 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | BEAUTY CRESCENT | 10.1% | 9.92 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | WINNING GOLD | 7.8% | 12.78 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | TAMRA BLITZ | 5.4% | 18.41 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | SUPER JOY N FUN | 3.8% | 26.17 | 7 |
| 8 | 6 | RISING FROM ASHES | 3.6% | 27.96 | 9 |
| 9 | 4 | CHAIN OF GOLD | 3.2% | 31.24 | 8 |
| 10 | 1 | SUPERB BOY | 2.7% | 37.15 | 13 |
| 11 | 13 | STELLAR SWIFT | 2.3% | 43.76 | 11 |
| 12 | 5 | KEMPES | 2.2% | 44.73 | 12 |
| 13 | 14 | TIMES TABLE | 0.8% | 120.98 | 10 |
| 14 | 9 | MR VIGOR | 0.5% | 219.06 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 42.5
PLACE
3 34
7 33.5
11 18.5
QUINELLA
7,11 253
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 141
3,11 90
7,11 88
FORECAST
11,7 468
TIERCE
11,7,3 3,540
TRIO
3,7,11 717
FIRST 4
2,3,7,11 880
QUARTET
11,7,3,2 18,166
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
8/7 47.5
8/11 125.5