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Sha Tin · 2025-02-23 · 17:18

Race 9

Class 3 1400m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.20.81
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 11 BRILLIANT EXPRESS Closed strongly 1.20.81 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · J Size 10 4.2 2-3/4
2 7 TAMRA BLITZ Closed strongly H/SR H Bowman · D J Whyte 7 10.0 2-3/4
3 3 BEAUTY CRESCENT Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 9 12.0 4-1/4
4 2 WINNING GOLD Closed strongly TT K Teetan · W Y So 6 9.4 4-3/4
5 10 YUEN LONG ELITE Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · K L Man 11 4.9 4-3/4
6 12 SOLID WIN Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu 1 4.6 5-1/2
7 8 SUPER JOY N FUN Led early XB/TT C L Chau · T P Yung 4 13.0 5-3/4
8 4 CHAIN OF GOLD CP/H/TT H Bentley · W K Mo 2 24.0 5-3/4
9 6 RISING FROM ASHES B/TT K De Melo · C W Chang 3 38.0 6-1/4
10 14 TIMES TABLE Closed strongly P B Thompson · M Newnham 5 98.0 6-1/4
11 13 STELLAR SWIFT Closed strongly B/TT A Atzeni · D A Hayes 14 12.0 6-3/4
12 5 KEMPES H1 J Orman · D J Hall 8 48.0 7
13 1 SUPERB BOY B-/TT L Ferraris · K W Lui 13 45.0 8-3/4
14 9 MR VIGOR TT D McDonogh · C S Shum 12 171.0 18-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2025-02-23 was Class 3 over 1400m. BRILLIANT EXPRESS, ridden by A Badel and trained by J Size, won by 2-3/4, with TAMRA BLITZ second and BEAUTY CRESCENT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.2 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BRILLIANT EXPRESS—2. TAMRA BLITZ+2.75L3. BEAUTY CRESCENT+4.25L4. WINNING GOLD+4.75L5. YUEN LONG ELITE+4.75L6. SOLID WIN+5.5L7. SUPER JOY N FUN+5.75L8. CHAIN OF GOLD+5.75L9. RISING FROM ASHES+6.25L10. TIMES TABLE+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick SOLID WIN (22.6%) finished 6th — the winner BRILLIANT EXPRESS was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 12 SOLID WIN 22.6% 4.43 6
2 11 BRILLIANT EXPRESS 21.5% 4.65 1
3 10 YUEN LONG ELITE 13.5% 7.40 5
4 3 BEAUTY CRESCENT 10.1% 9.92 3
5 2 WINNING GOLD 7.8% 12.78 4
6 7 TAMRA BLITZ 5.4% 18.41 2
7 8 SUPER JOY N FUN 3.8% 26.17 7
8 6 RISING FROM ASHES 3.6% 27.96 9
9 4 CHAIN OF GOLD 3.2% 31.24 8
10 1 SUPERB BOY 2.7% 37.15 13
11 13 STELLAR SWIFT 2.3% 43.76 11
12 5 KEMPES 2.2% 44.73 12
13 14 TIMES TABLE 0.8% 120.98 10
14 9 MR VIGOR 0.5% 219.06 14
SOLID WINBRILLIANT EXPRESS — wonYUEN LONG ELITEBEAUTY CRESCENTWINNING GOLDTAMRA BLITZSUPER JOY N FUNRISING FROM ASHESCHAIN OF GOLDSUPERB BOYSTELLAR SWIFTKEMPESTIMES TABLEMR VIGOR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 42.5

PLACE

3 34

7 33.5

11 18.5

QUINELLA

7,11 253

QUINELLA PLACE

3,7 141

3,11 90

7,11 88

FORECAST

11,7 468

TIERCE

11,7,3 3,540

TRIO

3,7,11 717

FIRST 4

2,3,7,11 880

QUARTET

11,7,3,2 18,166

All pools (1 more)

8TH DOUBLE

8/7 47.5

8/11 125.5