Sha Tin · 2025-02-23 · 16:43
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | JUNEAU PRIDE Closed strongly 1.20.93 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 5 | 3.2 | N |
| 2 | 13 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE Closed strongly XB L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 8 | 6.5 | N |
| 3 | 9 | VICTORY SKY Closed strongly SR1 A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 2 | 8.9 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | STORM RIDER Closed strongly B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 11 | 28.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | JOY OF SPRING Closed strongly TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 7 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | PATCH OF COSMO Closed strongly B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 1 | 5.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | ANOTHER ZONDA B M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 4 | 80.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | KEEFY Led early E C W Wong · F C Lor | E C W Wong | F C Lor | 12 | 103.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | BUCEPHALAS H/TT H T Mo · W K Mo | H T Mo | W K Mo | 3 | 16.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | THE ABSOLUTE Closed strongly CP/XB/TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 13 | 22.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 14 | MR ENERGIA B K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 6 | 6.1 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | YIU CHEUNG VICTORY Closed strongly SR K De Melo · C H Yip | K De Melo | C H Yip | 14 | 208.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | SUNNYVALE D McDonogh · W Y So | D McDonogh | W Y So | 9 | 186.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 14 | 1 | LUCK IS BACK TT1 L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 10 | 55.0 | 12-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-02-23 was Class 3 over 1400m. JUNEAU PRIDE, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by J Size, won by N, with ARMOUR WAR EAGLE second and VICTORY SKY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.2 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | PATCH OF COSMO | 22.4% | 4.46 | 6 |
| 2 | 8 | JUNEAU PRIDE | 21.6% | 4.63 | 1 |
| 3 | 14 | MR ENERGIA | 11.7% | 8.58 | 11 |
| 4 | 9 | VICTORY SKY | 10.3% | 9.75 | 3 |
| 5 | 13 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE | 9.1% | 11.03 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | JOY OF SPRING | 8.2% | 12.24 | 5 |
| 7 | 12 | THE ABSOLUTE | 4.5% | 22.23 | 10 |
| 8 | 4 | STORM RIDER | 2.8% | 36.18 | 4 |
| 9 | 1 | LUCK IS BACK | 2.7% | 37.08 | 14 |
| 10 | 11 | BUCEPHALAS | 2.5% | 39.66 | 9 |
| 11 | 2 | KEEFY | 1.7% | 60.41 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | ANOTHER ZONDA | 1.3% | 75.01 | 7 |
| 13 | 7 | YIU CHEUNG VICTORY | 0.9% | 114.73 | 12 |
| 14 | 6 | SUNNYVALE | 0.5% | 203.67 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 32
PLACE
8 14
9 25.5
13 21
QUINELLA
8,13 103
QUINELLA PLACE
8,9 46.5
8,13 39
9,13 105.5
FORECAST
8,13 196
TIERCE
8,13,9 834
TRIO
8,9,13 182
FIRST 4
4,8,9,13 920
QUARTET
8,13,9,4 11,010
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,4/8,9,13 3,248
7TH DOUBLE
1/8 40.5
1/13 18