Sha Tin · 2025-02-23 · 15:03
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | KA YING RISING Closed strongly 1.20.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 9 | 1.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | HELIOS EXPRESS Closed strongly H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 2 | 5.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE Closed strongly B Thompson · J Size | B Thompson | J Size | 1 | 59.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | BEAUTY ETERNAL Closed strongly E A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 4 | 44.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | RED LION A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 22.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE Led early TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 7 | 35.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | INVINCIBLE SAGE CP L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 3 | 98.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | PATCH OF THETA XB H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 8 | 18.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | MUGEN B Shinn · P C Ng | B Shinn | P C Ng | 5 | 72.0 | 5-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-02-23 was Group 1 over 1400m. KA YING RISING, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1-1/2, with HELIOS EXPRESS second and HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.2 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | KA YING RISING | 54.1% | 1.85 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | HELIOS EXPRESS | 18.9% | 5.28 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | PATCH OF THETA | 8.1% | 12.31 | 8 |
| 4 | 3 | BEAUTY ETERNAL | 5.0% | 19.83 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE | 3.6% | 27.62 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | RED LION | 3.0% | 33.54 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE | 2.7% | 37.51 | 6 |
| 8 | 9 | MUGEN | 2.4% | 42.35 | 9 |
| 9 | 6 | INVINCIBLE SAGE | 2.2% | 45.17 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 12
PLACE
1 10.1
4 12.5
5 53.5
QUINELLA
1,4 18
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 12
1,5 57
4,5 95
FORECAST
1,4 24
TIERCE
1,4,5 174
TRIO
1,4,5 111
FIRST 4
1,3,4,5 280
QUARTET
1,4,5,3 1,205
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
2/8/1 60
2/8/4 44
4TH DOUBLE
8/1 27.5
8/4 16