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Sha Tin · 2025-02-23 · 05:35

Race 2

Class 2 1000m Course A 8 runners

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2025-02-23 was Class 2 over 1000m. MAGIC CONTROL, ridden by B Shinn and trained by W K Mo, won by 1-1/2, with JAMES TAK second and FULL CREDIT third. Victory came as the 3.9 favourite.

Result

Official · 0.56.40
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 MAGIC CONTROL P/TT 0.56.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · W K Mo 2 3.9 1-1/2
2 6 JAMES TAK CP/TT A Atzeni · T P Yung 4 10.0 1-1/2
3 3 FULL CREDIT L Hewitson · M Newnham 8 4.6 1-1/2
4 4 WHIZZ KID V/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz 7 21.0 2-1/4
5 8 HEALTHY HEALTHY B/TT K Teetan · P C Ng 5 16.0 2-3/4
6 2 BOTTOMUPTOGETHER TT H Bowman · F C Lor 1 4.0 3
7 5 SUPERB CAPITALIST H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 6 33.0 4-1/4
8 7 STELLAR EXPRESS B B Avdulla · J Size 3 3.9 4-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MAGIC CONTROL2. JAMES TAK+1.5L3. FULL CREDIT+1.5L4. WHIZZ KID+2.25L5. HEALTHY HEALTHY+2.75L6. BOTTOMUPTOGETHER+3L7. SUPERB CAPITALIST+4.25L8. STELLAR EXPRESS+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick BOTTOMUPTOGETHER (39.5%) finished 6th — the winner MAGIC CONTROL was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 BOTTOMUPTOGETHER 39.5% 2.53 6
2 7 STELLAR EXPRESS 24.9% 4.02 8
3 1 MAGIC CONTROL 16.0% 6.23 1
4 3 FULL CREDIT 5.9% 16.95 3
5 8 HEALTHY HEALTHY 4.7% 21.39 5
6 6 JAMES TAK 4.3% 23.47 2
7 5 SUPERB CAPITALIST 2.4% 40.96 7
8 4 WHIZZ KID 2.3% 43.64 4
BOTTOMUPTOGETHERSTELLAR EXPRESSMAGIC CONTROL — wonFULL CREDITHEALTHY HEALTHYJAMES TAKSUPERB CAPITALISTWHIZZ KID

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 39

PLACE

1 14.5

3 17

6 26.5

QUINELLA

1,6 244

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 40.5

1,6 82

3,6 69

FORECAST

1,6 307

TIERCE

1,6,3 1,739

TRIO

1,3,6 311

FIRST 4

1,3,4,6 1,161

QUARTET

1,6,3,4 14,848

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

14/1 2,915

14/6 1,437

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

3,12,14/1,3,6 503,654