Sha Tin · 2025-02-23 · 15:37
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | MISTER DAPPER Closed strongly B/XB/TT 1.34.17 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · D Eustace | B Avdulla | D Eustace | 5 | 2.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | ORIENTAL SMOKE B/TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 12 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | GOLD MASTER Closed strongly B A Atzeni · K L Man | A Atzeni | K L Man | 8 | 7.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | MIGHTY STRENGTH Closed strongly B C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 2 | 8.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | MATSU VICTOR B M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 1 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 13 | KASA PAPA Closed strongly TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 14 | 53.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 14 | FIGHT TIME Closed strongly V B Thompson · D J Hall | B Thompson | D J Hall | 10 | 20.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | SUNDAY'S SERENADE B/TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 6 | 4.4 | 5 |
| 9 | 9 | PANDA LEGEND Closed strongly V1/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 7 | 21.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | AMAZING DUCK Led early CP/TT L Hewitson · K H Ting | L Hewitson | K H Ting | 11 | 36.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | ONLY U Closed strongly B/TT D McDonogh · T P Yung | D McDonogh | T P Yung | 9 | 53.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | LUCKY GENERATIONS P/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 13 | 44.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 1 | DILBAGH CP-/XB/SR2 K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 3 | 59.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 12 | GLUCK RACER B H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 4 | 17.0 | 11 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-02-23 was Class 4 over 1600m. MISTER DAPPER, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by D Eustace, won by 1-3/4, with ORIENTAL SMOKE second and GOLD MASTER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SUNDAY'S SERENADE | 16.9% | 5.91 | 8 |
| 2 | 11 | MISTER DAPPER | 14.3% | 7.02 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | MATSU VICTOR | 11.3% | 8.81 | 5 |
| 4 | 4 | GOLD MASTER | 11.2% | 8.95 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | MIGHTY STRENGTH | 10.0% | 9.96 | 4 |
| 6 | 12 | GLUCK RACER | 5.9% | 16.94 | 14 |
| 7 | 5 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 5.6% | 17.91 | 2 |
| 8 | 14 | FIGHT TIME | 5.2% | 19.22 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | LUCKY GENERATIONS | 5.1% | 19.46 | 12 |
| 10 | 13 | KASA PAPA | 4.6% | 21.83 | 6 |
| 11 | 9 | PANDA LEGEND | 2.9% | 34.48 | 9 |
| 12 | 6 | AMAZING DUCK | 2.8% | 35.24 | 10 |
| 13 | 7 | ONLY U | 2.4% | 41.77 | 11 |
| 14 | 1 | DILBAGH | 1.7% | 58.15 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 28.5
PLACE
4 25
5 39.5
11 14.5
QUINELLA
5,11 282
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 174
4,11 56
5,11 100
FORECAST
11,5 500
TIERCE
11,5,4 3,383
TRIO
4,5,11 718
FIRST 4
3,4,5,11 867
QUARTET
11,5,4,3 16,836
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,5/4,5,11 7,630
5TH DOUBLE
1/5 33.5
1/11 50
TRIPLE TRIO
4,7,8/1,4,5/4,5,11 1,049,538
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,7,8/1,4,5/Any Combination 3,545