沙田 · 2025-02-23 · 06:05
第 3場
2025-02-23沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1400米。由H Bowman策騎、J Size訓練的SKY JEWELLERY勝出，贏出N。SOUTH STAR獲得亞軍；HAROLD WIN獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SKY JEWELLERY 後段發力 1.22.19 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 13 | 2.2 | N |
| 2 | 8 | SOUTH STAR 後段發力 TT1 L Hewitson · F C Lor | L Hewitson | F C Lor | 2 | 5.8 | N |
| 3 | 3 | HAROLD WIN B/XB C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 14 | 9.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | LUCKY SAM GOR 後段發力 XB L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 12 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | CALIFORNIA BLITZ TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 6 | 145.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | NEVER TOO SOON 後段發力 P N Wong · D J Hall | P N Wong | D J Hall | 4 | 22.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | SUPER CONTENTED 後段發力 TT K De Melo · C Fownes | K De Melo | C Fownes | 1 | 55.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | GALE SAGA 後段發力 B K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 10 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 14 | YEE CHEONG RAIDER B/TT M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 3 | 33.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | JOLLY RULER TT R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 7 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 13 | SHINKANSEN 後段發力 CP/H/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 5 | 69.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | SHINE BRIGHT 早段領放 B B Thompson · C H Yip | B Thompson | C H Yip | 11 | 54.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 6 | CELESTIAL PATCH TT1 A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 9 | 49.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 12 | PEARL OF PANG'S B D McDonogh · K L Man | D McDonogh | K L Man | 8 | 16.0 | 8-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SKY JEWELLERY | 27.2% | 3.68 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | GALE SAGA | 9.7% | 10.27 | 8 |
| 3 | 10 | SUPER CONTENTED | 9.0% | 11.16 | 7 |
| 4 | 8 | SOUTH STAR | 8.6% | 11.64 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | LUCKY SAM GOR | 8.2% | 12.15 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | JOLLY RULER | 7.7% | 12.95 | 10 |
| 7 | 12 | PEARL OF PANG'S | 6.7% | 15.00 | 14 |
| 8 | 6 | CELESTIAL PATCH | 5.3% | 18.82 | 13 |
| 9 | 13 | SHINKANSEN | 4.4% | 22.77 | 11 |
| 10 | 1 | NEVER TOO SOON | 4.3% | 23.30 | 6 |
| 11 | 3 | HAROLD WIN | 4.2% | 24.06 | 3 |
| 12 | 14 | YEE CHEONG RAIDER | 2.0% | 49.52 | 9 |
| 13 | 5 | CALIFORNIA BLITZ | 1.4% | 70.68 | 5 |
| 14 | 11 | SHINE BRIGHT | 1.3% | 74.80 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 22
PLACE
2 12.5
3 27
8 18.5
QUINELLA
2,8 77
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 49.5
2,8 34.5
3,8 92
FORECAST
2,8 107
TIERCE
2,8,3 1,126
TRIO
2,3,8 263
FIRST 4
2,3,7,8 467
QUARTET
2,8,3,7 6,528
全部彩池（另 1 項）
2ND DOUBLE
1/2 66.5
1/8 51.5