沙田 · 2025-02-23 · 06:35
第 4場
2025-02-23沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1200米。由H Bowman策騎、J Size訓練的CROSSBORDERPEGASUS勝出，贏出3/4。AHREN獲得亞軍；BULB GENERAL獲得季軍。頭馬以2.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | CROSSBORDERPEGASUS TT1 1.09.58 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 9 | 2.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | AHREN C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 8 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 7 | BULB GENERAL CP1/TT1 B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 14 | 81.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | WITH A SMILE TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 11 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | PHOENIX LIGHT H E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 5 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 14 | BULB EMPEROR TT B Thompson · P C Ng | B Thompson | P C Ng | 3 | 98.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | BIENVENUE B L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 2 | 5.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | ELEGANT LIFE B-/V1 A Atzeni · T P Yung | A Atzeni | T P Yung | 1 | 19.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 13 | KING OBERON B A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 4 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | ALLURING LAOS CP/TT H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 6 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | BLAZING BEAM SR L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 10 | 35.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 3 | SUMMIT CHEERS B/TT P N Wong · D J Hall | P N Wong | D J Hall | 13 | 67.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 11 | JOYOUS LILY H-/TT J Orman · F C Lor | J Orman | F C Lor | 7 | 236.0 | 13 |
| 14 | 5 | BEAUTY FORMULA TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 12 | 145.0 | 16-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | CROSSBORDERPEGASUS | 32.2% | 3.11 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | BIENVENUE | 13.2% | 7.59 | 7 |
| 3 | 13 | KING OBERON | 11.6% | 8.58 | 9 |
| 4 | 9 | ELEGANT LIFE | 6.3% | 15.91 | 8 |
| 5 | 10 | WITH A SMILE | 5.8% | 17.27 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | AHREN | 5.5% | 18.11 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | ALLURING LAOS | 5.4% | 18.47 | 10 |
| 8 | 1 | PHOENIX LIGHT | 5.2% | 19.41 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 | BLAZING BEAM | 4.5% | 22.13 | 11 |
| 10 | 3 | SUMMIT CHEERS | 4.3% | 23.37 | 12 |
| 11 | 7 | BULB GENERAL | 3.2% | 31.31 | 3 |
| 12 | 14 | BULB EMPEROR | 1.6% | 63.62 | 6 |
| 13 | 5 | BEAUTY FORMULA | 0.7% | 153.16 | 14 |
| 14 | 11 | JOYOUS LILY | 0.6% | 169.06 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 20
PLACE
4 41.5
7 176
8 12
QUINELLA
4,8 138
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 1,085
4,8 65
7,8 296
FORECAST
8,4 211
TIERCE
8,4,7 6,364
TRIO
4,7,8 2,597
FIRST 4
4,7,8,10 3,733
QUARTET
8,4,7,10 47,990
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,8/4,7,8 57,132
3RD DOUBLE
2/4 38
2/8 35