沙田 · 2025-03-23 · 06:35
第 4場
2025-03-23沙田第4場,Class 4,途程1200米。由M Chadwick策騎、W K Mo訓練的LUCKY PLANET勝出,贏出1-3/4。ENJOY GOLF獲得亞軍;PARTERRE獲得季軍。2.8倍大熱門AHREN跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | LUCKY PLANET B/TT 1.08.63 ▶ 重播 (在新分頁開啟) M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 9 | 29.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | ENJOY GOLF B-/V1 H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 6 | 4.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | PARTERRE B J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 3 | 9.3 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | AHREN C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 11 | 2.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 14 | GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY CP-/B1/TT M F Poon · J Richards | M F Poon | J Richards | 5 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | ELEGANT LIFE V J Orman · T P Yung | J Orman | T P Yung | 13 | 87.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | QUICK CONTRIBUTION B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 1 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | MAJESTIC DELIGHT H1/TT1 R Kingscote · D Eustace | R Kingscote | D Eustace | 8 | 125.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | KING SHOW B1 K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 4 | 59.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | SIGHT DREAMER TT R Moore · J Size | R Moore | J Size | 14 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | TEAM HAPPY PC/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 7 | 19.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | AMAZING RUN B/TT C Williams · D A Hayes | C Williams | D A Hayes | 12 | 7.3 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 2 | YEE CHEONG SPIRIT XB/TT C Soumillon · C S Shum | C Soumillon | C S Shum | 2 | 25.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 14 | 6 | HAPPY BOYS H/XB L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 10 | 175.0 | 6-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ENJOY GOLF | 29.4% | 3.40 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | AHREN | 14.6% | 6.84 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | QUICK CONTRIBUTION | 10.7% | 9.39 | 7 |
| 4 | 8 | SIGHT DREAMER | 9.4% | 10.61 | 10 |
| 5 | 3 | PARTERRE | 6.1% | 16.36 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | YEE CHEONG SPIRIT | 5.3% | 18.75 | 13 |
| 7 | 13 | LUCKY PLANET | 4.9% | 20.27 | 1 |
| 8 | 11 | AMAZING RUN | 3.8% | 26.31 | 12 |
| 9 | 7 | MAJESTIC DELIGHT | 3.5% | 28.36 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | TEAM HAPPY | 3.4% | 29.63 | 11 |
| 11 | 9 | ELEGANT LIFE | 3.2% | 30.78 | 6 |
| 12 | 14 | GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY | 3.2% | 31.71 | 5 |
| 13 | 10 | KING SHOW | 1.4% | 69.15 | 9 |
| 14 | 6 | HAPPY BOYS | 0.9% | 105.41 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 294.5
PLACE
1 17
3 24
13 72
QUINELLA
1,13 582.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 56.5
1,13 177.5
3,13 282
FORECAST
13,1 1,294
TIERCE
13,1,3 8,331
TRIO
1,3,13 1,003
FIRST 4
1,3,4,13 667
QUARTET
13,1,3,4 28,720
全部彩池(另 2 項)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,7/1,3,13 30,602
3RD DOUBLE
7/1 51.5
7/13 1,359