沙田 · 2025-03-23 · 07:35
第 6場
2025-03-23沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1600米。由J Moreira策騎、F C Lor訓練的MASTER TRILLION勝出，贏出1/2。SKY VINO獲得亞軍；BEATO獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.6倍大熱門MISTER DAPPER跑獲第11名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MASTER TRILLION 後段發力 B 1.34.35 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 9 | 8.1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 7 | SKY VINO 後段發力 H/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 12 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | BEATO 後段發力 V/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 13 | SPECIAL HEDGE 後段發力 V/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 5 | 18.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | TIMES TABLE 後段發力 P-/CP1 B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 14 | 75.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | GALE SAGA 後段發力 B J Orman · P C Ng | J Orman | P C Ng | 10 | 48.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | LUCKY FIONN CP/TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 2 | 5.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | ORIENTAL SMOKE 早段領放 B/TT C Williams · D A Hayes | C Williams | D A Hayes | 4 | 8.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 14 | FIGHT TIME V M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 16.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | THUNDER BLINK H/V/TT C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 1 | 45.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | MISTER DAPPER B/XB/TT B Avdulla · D Eustace | B Avdulla | D Eustace | 7 | 2.6 | 8 |
| 12 | 1 | HAPPY DAILY TT C Soumillon · C H Yip | C Soumillon | C H Yip | 3 | 18.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 13 | 12 | CELTIC TIMES B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 13 | 99.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 14 | 9 | DEAL COMPLETED B/XB1/TT- D McDonogh · D J Whyte | D McDonogh | D J Whyte | 8 | 128.0 | 23 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | LUCKY FIONN | 20.3% | 4.93 | 7 |
| 2 | 7 | SKY VINO | 15.3% | 6.55 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | MISTER DAPPER | 10.8% | 9.29 | 11 |
| 4 | 3 | BEATO | 10.2% | 9.85 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | MASTER TRILLION | 10.1% | 9.92 | 1 |
| 6 | 13 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 7.4% | 13.49 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | HAPPY DAILY | 6.5% | 15.27 | 12 |
| 8 | 6 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 5.4% | 18.59 | 8 |
| 9 | 14 | FIGHT TIME | 4.4% | 22.79 | 9 |
| 10 | 11 | GALE SAGA | 4.1% | 24.66 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | CELTIC TIMES | 1.9% | 52.64 | 13 |
| 12 | 9 | DEAL COMPLETED | 1.6% | 61.13 | 14 |
| 13 | 5 | THUNDER BLINK | 1.4% | 72.32 | 10 |
| 14 | 2 | TIMES TABLE | 0.8% | 128.21 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 81.5
PLACE
3 18
4 25.5
7 34
13 24
QUINELLA
4,7 447.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 73.5
3,7 72
3,13 113.5
4,7 127
4,13 90
7,13 111
FORECAST
4,7 884
TIERCE
4,7,3 3,195
4,7,13 6,595
TRIO
3,4,7 529
4,7,13 1,256
FIRST 4
3,4,7,13 5,021
QUARTET
4,7,3,13 49,821
4,7,13,3 53,539
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,9,13/3,4,7 26,195
4,9,13/4,7,13 57,533
5TH DOUBLE
9/4 563
9/7 117
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,3,13/4,9,13/Any Combination 3,768