Sha Tin · 2025-03-23 · 07:35
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-23 was Class 4 over 1600m. MASTER TRILLION, ridden by J Moreira and trained by F C Lor, won by 1/2, with SKY VINO second and BEATO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite MISTER DAPPER finished 11th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MASTER TRILLION Closed strongly B 1.34.35 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 9 | 8.1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 7 | SKY VINO Closed strongly H/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 12 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | BEATO Closed strongly V/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 13 | SPECIAL HEDGE Closed strongly V/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 5 | 18.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | TIMES TABLE Closed strongly P-/CP1 B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 14 | 75.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | GALE SAGA Closed strongly B J Orman · P C Ng | J Orman | P C Ng | 10 | 48.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | LUCKY FIONN CP/TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 2 | 5.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | ORIENTAL SMOKE Led early B/TT C Williams · D A Hayes | C Williams | D A Hayes | 4 | 8.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 14 | FIGHT TIME V M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 16.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | THUNDER BLINK H/V/TT C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 1 | 45.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | MISTER DAPPER B/XB/TT B Avdulla · D Eustace | B Avdulla | D Eustace | 7 | 2.6 | 8 |
| 12 | 1 | HAPPY DAILY TT C Soumillon · C H Yip | C Soumillon | C H Yip | 3 | 18.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 13 | 12 | CELTIC TIMES B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 13 | 99.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 14 | 9 | DEAL COMPLETED B/XB1/TT- D McDonogh · D J Whyte | D McDonogh | D J Whyte | 8 | 128.0 | 23 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | LUCKY FIONN | 20.3% | 4.93 | 7 |
| 2 | 7 | SKY VINO | 15.3% | 6.55 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | MISTER DAPPER | 10.8% | 9.29 | 11 |
| 4 | 3 | BEATO | 10.2% | 9.85 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | MASTER TRILLION | 10.1% | 9.92 | 1 |
| 6 | 13 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 7.4% | 13.49 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | HAPPY DAILY | 6.5% | 15.27 | 12 |
| 8 | 6 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 5.4% | 18.59 | 8 |
| 9 | 14 | FIGHT TIME | 4.4% | 22.79 | 9 |
| 10 | 11 | GALE SAGA | 4.1% | 24.66 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | CELTIC TIMES | 1.9% | 52.64 | 13 |
| 12 | 9 | DEAL COMPLETED | 1.6% | 61.13 | 14 |
| 13 | 5 | THUNDER BLINK | 1.4% | 72.32 | 10 |
| 14 | 2 | TIMES TABLE | 0.8% | 128.21 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 81.5
PLACE
3 18
4 25.5
7 34
13 24
QUINELLA
4,7 447.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 73.5
3,7 72
3,13 113.5
4,7 127
4,13 90
7,13 111
FORECAST
4,7 884
TIERCE
4,7,3 3,195
4,7,13 6,595
TRIO
3,4,7 529
4,7,13 1,256
FIRST 4
3,4,7,13 5,021
QUARTET
4,7,3,13 49,821
4,7,13,3 53,539
All pools (3 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,9,13/3,4,7 26,195
4,9,13/4,7,13 57,533
5TH DOUBLE
9/4 563
9/7 117
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,3,13/4,9,13/Any Combination 3,768