Sha Tin · 2025-03-23 · 13:01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SUPER EXPRESS Closed strongly TT1 1.21.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Moore · J Size | R Moore | J Size | 3 | 1.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 8 | ZETTA FORCE Closed strongly B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 17.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 7 | FORTUNE BOY Closed strongly K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 8 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 13 | SHINE BRIGHT Led early B K De Melo · C H Yip | K De Melo | C H Yip | 2 | 67.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | THE HEIR Closed strongly J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 7 | 9.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 14 | CASHISCASH B-/SR1/TT- P N Wong · D J Whyte | P N Wong | D J Whyte | 10 | 91.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | DRALA Closed strongly V-/H1 R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 11 | 199.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | ICONICAL Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 14 | 80.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | FORERUNNER Closed strongly TT W Buick · W K Mo | W Buick | W K Mo | 12 | 14.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | TOP DRAGON H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 9 | 4.7 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | JOYFUL TREASURE XB/B1 C Soumillon · K W Lui | C Soumillon | K W Lui | 5 | 29.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | STORM RUNNER TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 6 | 81.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | ALWAYS MY FOLKS H B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 13 | 73.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 14 | 1 | TURIN WARRIOR XB K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 4 | 46.0 | 10 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-23 was Class 4 over 1400m. SUPER EXPRESS, ridden by R Moore and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/4, with ZETTA FORCE second and FORTUNE BOY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SUPER EXPRESS | 32.0% | 3.12 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | THE HEIR | 16.0% | 6.26 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | TOP DRAGON | 14.7% | 6.82 | 10 |
| 4 | 2 | FORERUNNER | 7.9% | 12.67 | 9 |
| 5 | 7 | FORTUNE BOY | 5.6% | 17.82 | 3 |
| 6 | 10 | ICONICAL | 4.6% | 21.70 | 8 |
| 7 | 1 | TURIN WARRIOR | 4.1% | 24.59 | 14 |
| 8 | 8 | ZETTA FORCE | 3.6% | 27.53 | 2 |
| 9 | 6 | JOYFUL TREASURE | 3.2% | 31.50 | 11 |
| 10 | 9 | ALWAYS MY FOLKS | 2.8% | 35.53 | 13 |
| 11 | 14 | CASHISCASH | 2.3% | 44.11 | 6 |
| 12 | 13 | SHINE BRIGHT | 1.6% | 61.14 | 4 |
| 13 | 12 | STORM RUNNER | 1.0% | 99.64 | 12 |
| 14 | 11 | DRALA | 0.6% | 162.48 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 17.5
PLACE
5 12
7 28.5
8 36.5
QUINELLA
5,8 159
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 49
5,8 58.5
7,8 215
FORECAST
5,8 207
TIERCE
5,8,7 1,631
TRIO
5,7,8 570
FIRST 4
5,7,8,13 4,190
QUARTET
5,8,7,13 38,096