Sha Tin · 2025-03-23 · 07:05
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-23 was Class 3 over 1400m. ENDEARED, ridden by C Williams and trained by J Size, won by SH, with ARMOUR WAR EAGLE second and BEAUTY GLORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.7 favourite ARMOUR WAR EAGLE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | ENDEARED Closed strongly P-/XB 1.21.19 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Williams · J Size | C Williams | J Size | 1 | 5.9 | SH |
| 2 | 4 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE Closed strongly CP/XB L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 8 | 4.7 | SH |
| 3 | 13 | BEAUTY GLORY Led early CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 6.1 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | STAR MAC Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 10 | 25.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | MIGHTY COMMANDER Closed strongly H/TT R Kingscote · C Fownes | R Kingscote | C Fownes | 6 | 85.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | EVERYONE'S STAR J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 9 | 5.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | BEAUTY VIVA Closed strongly B1/SR1 A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 3 | 7.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | TAMRA BLITZ H/SR H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 4 | 5.1 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | SOLID IMPACT CP A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 13 | 20.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | POPE CODY TT1 J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 11 | 31.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | RAGGA BOMB XB1 D McDonogh · D Eustace | D McDonogh | D Eustace | 5 | 155.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | SUNNYVALE M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 2 | 170.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 13 | 8 | SMART TRIO B/TT B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 12 | 244.0 | 13-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | ENDEARED | 24.7% | 4.04 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE | 18.6% | 5.38 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | TAMRA BLITZ | 10.7% | 9.32 | 8 |
| 4 | 1 | STAR MAC | 10.1% | 9.92 | 4 |
| 5 | 6 | EVERYONE'S STAR | 9.5% | 10.54 | 6 |
| 6 | 13 | BEAUTY GLORY | 7.0% | 14.26 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | BEAUTY VIVA | 6.4% | 15.54 | 7 |
| 8 | 7 | SOLID IMPACT | 3.5% | 28.56 | 9 |
| 9 | 5 | RAGGA BOMB | 3.4% | 29.52 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | MIGHTY COMMANDER | 2.7% | 36.79 | 5 |
| 11 | 2 | POPE CODY | 2.2% | 44.96 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | SUNNYVALE | 0.6% | 175.60 | 12 |
| 13 | 8 | SMART TRIO | 0.5% | 186.40 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 59
PLACE
4 16.5
9 21
13 25.5
QUINELLA
4,9 152.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 52
4,13 64
9,13 92
FORECAST
9,4 344
TIERCE
9,4,13 2,407
TRIO
4,9,13 420
FIRST 4
1,4,9,13 1,190
QUARTET
9,4,13,1 22,377
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
7/13/4 1,400
7/13/9 10,380
4TH DOUBLE
13/4 214
13/9 2,041.5