Sha Tin · 2025-03-23 · 15:01
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | ENDEARED Closed strongly P-/XB 1.21.19 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Williams · J Size | C Williams | J Size | 1 | 5.9 | SH |
| 2 | 4 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE Closed strongly CP/XB L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 8 | 4.7 | SH |
| 3 | 13 | BEAUTY GLORY Led early CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 6.1 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | STAR MAC Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 10 | 25.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | MIGHTY COMMANDER Closed strongly H/TT R Kingscote · C Fownes | R Kingscote | C Fownes | 6 | 85.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | EVERYONE'S STAR J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 9 | 5.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | BEAUTY VIVA Closed strongly B1/SR1 A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 3 | 7.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | TAMRA BLITZ H/SR H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 4 | 5.1 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | SOLID IMPACT CP A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 13 | 20.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | POPE CODY TT1 J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 11 | 31.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | RAGGA BOMB XB1 D McDonogh · D Eustace | D McDonogh | D Eustace | 5 | 155.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | SUNNYVALE M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 2 | 170.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 13 | 8 | SMART TRIO B/TT B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 12 | 244.0 | 13-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-23 was Class 3 over 1400m. ENDEARED, ridden by C Williams and trained by J Size, won by SH, with ARMOUR WAR EAGLE second and BEAUTY GLORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.7 favourite ARMOUR WAR EAGLE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | ENDEARED | 24.7% | 4.04 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | ARMOUR WAR EAGLE | 18.6% | 5.38 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | TAMRA BLITZ | 10.7% | 9.32 | 8 |
| 4 | 1 | STAR MAC | 10.1% | 9.92 | 4 |
| 5 | 6 | EVERYONE'S STAR | 9.5% | 10.54 | 6 |
| 6 | 13 | BEAUTY GLORY | 7.0% | 14.26 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | BEAUTY VIVA | 6.4% | 15.54 | 7 |
| 8 | 7 | SOLID IMPACT | 3.5% | 28.56 | 9 |
| 9 | 5 | RAGGA BOMB | 3.4% | 29.52 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | MIGHTY COMMANDER | 2.7% | 36.79 | 5 |
| 11 | 2 | POPE CODY | 2.2% | 44.96 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | SUNNYVALE | 0.6% | 175.60 | 12 |
| 13 | 8 | SMART TRIO | 0.5% | 186.40 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 59
PLACE
4 16.5
9 21
13 25.5
QUINELLA
4,9 152.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 52
4,13 64
9,13 92
FORECAST
9,4 344
TIERCE
9,4,13 2,407
TRIO
4,9,13 420
FIRST 4
1,4,9,13 1,190
QUARTET
9,4,13,1 22,377
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
7/13/4 1,400
7/13/9 10,380
4TH DOUBLE
13/4 214
13/9 2,041.5