Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2025-03-23 · 08:50

Race 8

Class 3 1200m Course A 12 runners

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-23 was Class 3 over 1200m. LADY'S CHOICE, ridden by K C Leung and trained by C W Chang, won by 1/2, with PAKISTAN LEGACY second and MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE third. The 2.3 favourite MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1.08.25
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 LADY'S CHOICE B 1.08.25 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · C W Chang 10 26.0 1/2
2 4 PAKISTAN LEGACY CP/TT J Moreira · W Y So 4 5.1 1/2
3 3 MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE H R Moore · J Size 11 2.3 1-1/4
4 5 RIGHTEOUS ARION TT A Badel · A S Cruz 6 33.0 1-3/4
5 11 BALLISTIC WIN B Thompson · T P Yung 1 4.3 1-3/4
6 12 GOKO WIN B M Chadwick · D J Whyte 2 12.0 2
7 8 CRIMSON FLASH L Hewitson · M Newnham 7 9.1 2-1/2
8 10 WARRIORS DREAM H1/TT1 K Teetan · D Eustace 9 85.0 2-3/4
9 2 NUCLEOZOR TT1 C Soumillon · C S Shum 5 17.0 3-1/2
10 7 FRANCIS MEYNELL TT H Bentley · W K Mo 3 35.0 6-1/2
11 6 BRIGHT DAY CP/TT M F Poon · K L Man 12 172.0 7
12 9 SPEEDY TRIDENT B/TT K De Melo · Y S Tsui 8 233.0 8-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LADY'S CHOICE2. PAKISTAN LEGACY+0.5L3. MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE+1.25L4. RIGHTEOUS ARION+1.75L5. BALLISTIC WIN+1.75L6. GOKO WIN+2L7. CRIMSON FLASH+2.5L8. WARRIORS DREAM+2.75L9. NUCLEOZOR+3.5L10. FRANCIS MEYNELL+6.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE (29.4%) finished 3rd — the winner LADY'S CHOICE was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE 29.4% 3.40 3
2 4 PAKISTAN LEGACY 14.4% 6.93 2
3 11 BALLISTIC WIN 14.4% 6.97 5
4 8 CRIMSON FLASH 11.7% 8.53 7
5 12 GOKO WIN 5.7% 17.44 6
6 1 LADY'S CHOICE 5.3% 19.03 1
7 2 NUCLEOZOR 5.2% 19.06 9
8 5 RIGHTEOUS ARION 3.8% 26.02 4
9 10 WARRIORS DREAM 3.6% 28.14 8
10 7 FRANCIS MEYNELL 3.5% 28.47 10
11 6 BRIGHT DAY 2.2% 46.38 11
12 9 SPEEDY TRIDENT 0.8% 124.48 12
MASTEROFMYUNIVERSEPAKISTAN LEGACYBALLISTIC WINCRIMSON FLASHGOKO WINLADY'S CHOICE — wonNUCLEOZORRIGHTEOUS ARIONWARRIORS DREAMFRANCIS MEYNELLBRIGHT DAYSPEEDY TRIDENT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 267

PLACE

1 56

3 12.5

4 18

QUINELLA

1,4 612

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 90

1,4 182.5

3,4 29

FORECAST

1,4 1,783

TIERCE

1,4,3 3,498

TRIO

1,3,4 237

FIRST 4

1,3,4,5 1,092

QUARTET

1,4,3,5 51,092

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

2,6,9/1,3,4 179,873

7TH DOUBLE

9/1 7,878

9/4 309.5