Sha Tin · 2025-03-23 · 14:01
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SKY DEEP Closed strongly V/XB 1.21.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · C Fownes | A Hamelin | C Fownes | 10 | 7.3 | N |
| 2 | 3 | HAROLD WIN Closed strongly B-/XB/V1 C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 9 | 7.5 | N |
| 3 | 2 | SPIRIT OF PEACE Closed strongly R Moore · J Size | R Moore | J Size | 7 | 3.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | LESLIE Closed strongly B K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 3 | 21.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | ANOTHER ZONDA Closed strongly B J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 13 | 33.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | SMART FIGHTER Closed strongly TT K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 11 | 29.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | LUCKY SAM GOR XB L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 6 | 5.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | LEAN MASTER Led early TT P N Wong · C H Yip | P N Wong | C H Yip | 2 | 23.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 14 | KINGLY DEMEANOR TT B Thompson · A S Cruz | B Thompson | A S Cruz | 5 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | FLYING AMANI Closed strongly XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 14 | 66.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 13 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY B/TT A Atzeni · K L Man | A Atzeni | K L Man | 8 | 29.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | ISLAND BREEZES B/TT J Moreira · P C Ng | J Moreira | P C Ng | 1 | 8.8 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 10 | HAPPY SHOOTER B-/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 12 | 41.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 14 | 9 | DOUBLE WIN XB/TT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 4 | 15.0 | 9-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-23 was Class 4 over 1400m. SKY DEEP, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with HAROLD WIN second and SPIRIT OF PEACE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite SPIRIT OF PEACE finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SPIRIT OF PEACE | 17.7% | 5.65 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | LEAN MASTER | 12.6% | 7.95 | 8 |
| 3 | 7 | SKY DEEP | 12.0% | 8.35 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | LUCKY SAM GOR | 11.2% | 8.94 | 7 |
| 5 | 11 | ISLAND BREEZES | 9.8% | 10.20 | 12 |
| 6 | 6 | LESLIE | 6.7% | 14.96 | 4 |
| 7 | 14 | KINGLY DEMEANOR | 5.2% | 19.15 | 9 |
| 8 | 9 | DOUBLE WIN | 5.1% | 19.55 | 14 |
| 9 | 4 | SMART FIGHTER | 5.1% | 19.65 | 5 |
| 10 | 13 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 4.9% | 20.27 | 11 |
| 11 | 3 | HAROLD WIN | 4.3% | 23.33 | 2 |
| 12 | 1 | ANOTHER ZONDA | 2.1% | 48.53 | 5 |
| 13 | 8 | FLYING AMANI | 1.9% | 52.61 | 10 |
| 14 | 10 | HAPPY SHOOTER | 1.5% | 68.07 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 73.5
PLACE
2 19
3 24.5
7 23
QUINELLA
3,7 317.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 70.5
2,7 50.5
3,7 105
FORECAST
7,3 528
TIERCE
7,3,2 1,910
TRIO
2,3,7 241
FIRST 4
2,3,6,7 1,125
QUARTET
7,3,2,6 30,022
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
3/3 34
3/7 139.5