Sha Tin · 2025-03-23 · 05:35
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-23 was Class 2 over 1400m. PACKING HERMOD, ridden by J Moreira and trained by K W Lui, won by 3/4, with YOUNG CHAMPION second and DIVANO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | PACKING HERMOD Closed strongly B1 1.19.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 5 | 2.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | YOUNG CHAMPION Closed strongly B/E B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 8 | 6.2 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | DIVANO Closed strongly TT R Moore · K W Lui | R Moore | K W Lui | 1 | 5.1 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | DANCING CODE Led early B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 6 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 4 | 7.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | SNOWFIELD Closed strongly XB1/TT1 M F Poon · M Newnham | M F Poon | M Newnham | 3 | 29.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | OUTGATE H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 2 | 26.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | HEALTHY HAPPY B/TT P N Wong · F C Lor | P N Wong | F C Lor | 7 | 12.0 | 16-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | YOUNG CHAMPION | 32.9% | 3.04 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | PACKING HERMOD | 22.8% | 4.38 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | DANCING CODE | 9.4% | 10.68 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 | DIVANO | 9.0% | 11.12 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | HEALTHY HAPPY | 7.9% | 12.61 | 8 |
| 6 | 7 | SNOWFIELD | 6.2% | 16.19 | 6 |
| 7 | 8 | OUTGATE | 6.0% | 16.76 | 7 |
| 8 | 4 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT | 5.9% | 17.05 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 20.5
PLACE
2 16
3 11
5 16.5
QUINELLA
2,3 52.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 23.5
2,5 42
3,5 22
FORECAST
3,2 85
TIERCE
3,2,5 203
TRIO
2,3,5 56
FIRST 4
2,3,5,6 90
QUARTET
3,2,5,6 709
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
5/2 17.5
5/3 35.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
5,7,8/2,3,5 5,238