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Sha Tin · 2025-03-23 · 06:35

Race 4

Class 4 1200m Course A 14 runners

Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-23 was Class 4 over 1200m. LUCKY PLANET, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by W K Mo, won by 1-3/4, with ENJOY GOLF second and PARTERRE third. The 2.8 favourite AHREN finished 4th.

Result

Official · 1.08.63
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 13 LUCKY PLANET B/TT 1.08.63 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · W K Mo 9 29.0 1-3/4
2 1 ENJOY GOLF B-/V1 H Bowman · F C Lor 6 4.5 1-3/4
3 3 PARTERRE B J Moreira · W Y So 3 9.3 2
4 4 AHREN C L Chau · P F Yiu 11 2.8 2-1/2
5 14 GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY CP-/B1/TT M F Poon · J Richards 5 14.0 2-3/4
6 9 ELEGANT LIFE V J Orman · T P Yung 13 87.0 3
7 5 QUICK CONTRIBUTION B Avdulla · D J Hall 1 11.0 3
8 7 MAJESTIC DELIGHT H1/TT1 R Kingscote · D Eustace 8 125.0 3-3/4
9 10 KING SHOW B1 K Teetan · Y S Tsui 4 59.0 4-1/4
10 8 SIGHT DREAMER TT R Moore · J Size 14 14.0 4-1/2
11 12 TEAM HAPPY PC/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng 7 19.0 4-3/4
12 11 AMAZING RUN B/TT C Williams · D A Hayes 12 7.3 5-1/2
13 2 YEE CHEONG SPIRIT XB/TT C Soumillon · C S Shum 2 25.0 6-1/4
14 6 HAPPY BOYS H/XB L Hewitson · M Newnham 10 175.0 6-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LUCKY PLANET2. ENJOY GOLF+1.75L3. PARTERRE+2L4. AHREN+2.5L5. GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY+2.75L6. ELEGANT LIFE+3L7. QUICK CONTRIBUTION+3L8. MAJESTIC DELIGHT+3.75L9. KING SHOW+4.25L10. SIGHT DREAMER+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick ENJOY GOLF (29.4%) finished 2nd — the winner LUCKY PLANET was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 ENJOY GOLF 29.4% 3.40 2
2 4 AHREN 14.6% 6.84 4
3 5 QUICK CONTRIBUTION 10.7% 9.39 7
4 8 SIGHT DREAMER 9.4% 10.61 10
5 3 PARTERRE 6.1% 16.36 3
6 2 YEE CHEONG SPIRIT 5.3% 18.75 13
7 13 LUCKY PLANET 4.9% 20.27 1
8 11 AMAZING RUN 3.8% 26.31 12
9 7 MAJESTIC DELIGHT 3.5% 28.36 8
10 12 TEAM HAPPY 3.4% 29.63 11
11 9 ELEGANT LIFE 3.2% 30.78 6
12 14 GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY 3.2% 31.71 5
13 10 KING SHOW 1.4% 69.15 9
14 6 HAPPY BOYS 0.9% 105.41 14
ENJOY GOLFAHRENQUICK CONTRIBUTIONSIGHT DREAMERPARTERREYEE CHEONG SPIRITLUCKY PLANET — wonAMAZING RUNMAJESTIC DELIGHTTEAM HAPPYELEGANT LIFEGOLDENTRONICMIGHTYKING SHOWHAPPY BOYS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

13 294.5

PLACE

1 17

3 24

13 72

QUINELLA

1,13 582.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 56.5

1,13 177.5

3,13 282

FORECAST

13,1 1,294

TIERCE

13,1,3 8,331

TRIO

1,3,13 1,003

FIRST 4

1,3,4,13 667

QUARTET

13,1,3,4 28,720

All pools (2 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

2,3,7/1,3,13 30,602

3RD DOUBLE

7/1 51.5

7/13 1,359