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Sha Tin · 2025-03-23 · 09:25

Race 9

Class 3 1200m Course A 12 runners

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-23 was Class 3 over 1200m. INVINCIBLE SHIELD, ridden by R Moore and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-1/4, with TRIUMPHANT MORE second and MAJESTIC EXPRESS third. The 1.6 favourite MAGNIFIQUE finished 6th.

Result

Official · 1.08.52
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 INVINCIBLE SHIELD 1.08.52 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Moore · K W Lui 4 5.1 1-1/4
2 3 TRIUMPHANT MORE B A Badel · F C Lor 1 7.5 1-1/4
3 10 MAJESTIC EXPRESS E C Williams · J Size 5 10.0 1-1/4
4 6 SUPER INFINITY CP H Bentley · M Newnham 3 16.0 1-1/2
5 2 SUPER LEGENDS B/TT C Soumillon · C S Shum 9 19.0 3
6 4 MAGNIFIQUE B Avdulla · D J Hall 8 1.6 5-1/4
7 13 AURIO SR/TT A Atzeni · D A Hayes 10 35.0 5-1/2
8 8 FREE PONY SR C L Chau · T P Yung 2 137.0 5-1/2
9 12 LEGENDARY IMPACT TT K Teetan · W K Mo 11 126.0 6-1/4
10 5 WAVE GARDEN CP1 L Hewitson · K H Ting 6 67.0 7-1/4
11 11 CALL TO COMMAND H/P/XB/TT1 M F Poon · C W Chang 12 231.0 10
12 7 BASIC INSTINCT K De Melo · Y S Tsui 7 198.0 10
9 LIGHTNESS OF BEING Y L Chung · A S Cruz

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. INVINCIBLE SHIELD2. TRIUMPHANT MORE+1.25L3. MAJESTIC EXPRESS+1.25L4. SUPER INFINITY+1.5L5. SUPER LEGENDS+3L6. MAGNIFIQUE+5.25L7. AURIO+5.5L8. FREE PONY+5.5L9. LEGENDARY IMPACT+6.25L10. WAVE GARDEN+7.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick MAGNIFIQUE (42.7%) finished 6th — the winner INVINCIBLE SHIELD was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 MAGNIFIQUE 42.7% 2.34 6
2 3 TRIUMPHANT MORE 17.7% 5.66 2
3 1 INVINCIBLE SHIELD 15.2% 6.58 1
4 6 SUPER INFINITY 6.9% 14.40 4
5 13 AURIO 5.0% 19.84 7
6 10 MAJESTIC EXPRESS 4.1% 24.14 3
7 2 SUPER LEGENDS 3.6% 27.62 5
8 5 WAVE GARDEN 1.9% 51.75 10
9 7 BASIC INSTINCT 1.0% 96.67 12
10 12 LEGENDARY IMPACT 0.9% 108.60 9
11 8 FREE PONY 0.4% 252.89 8
12 11 CALL TO COMMAND 0.4% 274.65 11
MAGNIFIQUETRIUMPHANT MOREINVINCIBLE SHIELD — wonSUPER INFINITYAURIOMAJESTIC EXPRESSSUPER LEGENDSWAVE GARDENBASIC INSTINCTLEGENDARY IMPACTFREE PONYCALL TO COMMAND

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 51.5

PLACE

1 15.5

3 17.5

10 22.5

QUINELLA

1,3 150.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 42.5

1,10 56.5

3,10 64

FORECAST

1,3 288

TIERCE

1,3,10 1,477

TRIO

1,3,10 341

FIRST 4

1,3,6,10 502

QUARTET

1,3,10,6 7,515

All pools (1 more)

8TH DOUBLE

1/1 1,373

1/3 470