Sha Tin · 2025-03-23 · 10:00
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-23 was Class 3 over 1800m. PACKING TURBINE, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by P C Ng, won by 1/2, with ENTHRALLED second and WINNING GOLD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite WINNING WING finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | PACKING TURBINE Closed strongly TT 1.46.24 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 8 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | ENTHRALLED Closed strongly B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 5 | 3.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | WINNING GOLD Closed strongly TT D McDonogh · W Y So | D McDonogh | W Y So | 14 | 66.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | PACKING HURRICANE Closed strongly CP2/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 2 | 59.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | PRAY FOR MIR Led early CP M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 12 | 9.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | WINNING WING Closed strongly TT H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 4 | 3.2 | 5 |
| 7 | 12 | SOLID WIN Closed strongly TT H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 6 | 25.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 14 | MIDORI GIANT B M F Poon · M Newnham | M F Poon | M Newnham | 3 | 24.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | LUPO SOLITARIO Closed strongly CP J Orman · F C Lor | J Orman | F C Lor | 13 | 70.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | SENOR TOBA Closed strongly CP C Soumillon · C H Yip | C Soumillon | C H Yip | 11 | 27.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | SKY HEART B-/V1/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 7 | 5.5 | 9 |
| 12 | 9 | LIVEANDLETLIVE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 11.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | STELLAR GRANDE CP/XB B Thompson · D Eustace | B Thompson | D Eustace | 1 | 183.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 2 | MONDIAL SR-/B1 L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 9 | 86.0 | 11-1/2 |
| — | 0 | JOY OF SPRING A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SKY HEART | 20.9% | 4.79 | 11 |
| 2 | 6 | ENTHRALLED | 15.8% | 6.32 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | PRAY FOR MIR | 12.9% | 7.74 | 5 |
| 4 | 12 | SOLID WIN | 12.1% | 8.28 | 7 |
| 5 | 10 | WINNING WING | 10.5% | 9.50 | 6 |
| 6 | 14 | MIDORI GIANT | 4.8% | 20.97 | 8 |
| 7 | 11 | PACKING TURBINE | 4.4% | 22.93 | 1 |
| 8 | 9 | LIVEANDLETLIVE | 4.2% | 24.00 | 12 |
| 9 | 1 | SENOR TOBA | 3.5% | 28.84 | 10 |
| 10 | 7 | PACKING HURRICANE | 3.3% | 30.20 | 4 |
| 11 | 4 | WINNING GOLD | 3.2% | 30.99 | 3 |
| 12 | 5 | LUPO SOLITARIO | 2.3% | 43.03 | 9 |
| 13 | 2 | MONDIAL | 1.1% | 87.33 | 14 |
| 14 | 13 | STELLAR GRANDE | 1.0% | 98.46 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 117
PLACE
4 136
6 16.5
11 35.5
QUINELLA
6,11 287.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 398.5
4,11 839
6,11 84
FORECAST
11,6 546
TIERCE
11,6,4 22,719
TRIO
4,6,11 3,752
FIRST 4
4,6,7,11 34,883
QUARTET
11,6,4,7 524,890
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
1/1/6 838
1/1/11 19,893
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,10/4,6,11 331,706
9TH DOUBLE
1/6 30.5
1/11 1,055.5
SIX UP
4,9/4,7/2,9/1,4/1,3/6,11 13,763
2 [K W Lui] —
2 [J Moreira] —