Sha Tin · 2025-03-23 · 16:08
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | CAP FERRAT Closed strongly 2.00.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Williams · K W Lui | C Williams | K W Lui | 2 | 26.0 | SH |
| 2 | 2 | MY WISH Closed strongly L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 14 | 6.1 | SH |
| 3 | 6 | PACKING ANGEL Closed strongly TT J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 6 | 6.6 | N |
| 4 | 13 | LO RIDER Led early H1 H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 1 | 19.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | RUBYLOT Closed strongly CP B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 4 | 2.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | JOHANNES BRAHMS Closed strongly A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 8 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | BUNDLE AWARD Closed strongly E B Thompson · J Size | B Thompson | J Size | 9 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | MICKLEY B-/TT R Moore · J Size | R Moore | J Size | 3 | 23.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | STEPS AHEAD Closed strongly L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 13 | 82.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | STUNNING PEACH Closed strongly CP1/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 12 | 24.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY B/TT J Orman · A S Cruz | J Orman | A S Cruz | 11 | 29.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 14 | BEAUTY ALLIANCE A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 5 | 25.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 12 | MARKWIN H-/TT W Buick · W K Mo | W Buick | W K Mo | 10 | 23.0 | 7 |
| 14 | 8 | NOISY BOY TT C Soumillon · C H Yip | C Soumillon | C H Yip | 7 | 12.0 | 7-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-23 was 4YO over 2000m. CAP FERRAT, ridden by C Williams and trained by K W Lui, won by SH, with MY WISH second and PACKING ANGEL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite RUBYLOT finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | PACKING ANGEL | 15.8% | 6.34 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | RUBYLOT | 14.4% | 6.92 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | MY WISH | 12.9% | 7.73 | 2 |
| 4 | 14 | BEAUTY ALLIANCE | 12.3% | 8.14 | 12 |
| 5 | 13 | LO RIDER | 8.1% | 12.27 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | BUNDLE AWARD | 7.2% | 13.86 | 7 |
| 7 | 3 | JOHANNES BRAHMS | 5.3% | 19.05 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | NOISY BOY | 4.8% | 20.82 | 14 |
| 9 | 4 | STUNNING PEACH | 4.8% | 20.89 | 10 |
| 10 | 7 | MICKLEY | 3.7% | 27.29 | 8 |
| 11 | 12 | MARKWIN | 3.0% | 32.94 | 13 |
| 12 | 9 | CAP FERRAT | 2.7% | 37.66 | 1 |
| 13 | 11 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY | 2.6% | 37.94 | 11 |
| 14 | 10 | STEPS AHEAD | 2.4% | 42.39 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 267
PLACE
2 21.5
6 24
9 70.5
QUINELLA
2,9 735.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 82.5
2,9 233
6,9 295
FORECAST
9,2 1,913
TIERCE
9,2,6 16,229
TRIO
2,6,9 2,027
FIRST 4
2,6,9,13 6,354
QUARTET
9,2,6,13 214,448
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
4/2 109
4/9 2,516