沙田 · 2025-03-23 · 06:05
第 3場
2025-03-23沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1400米。由A Hamelin策騎、C Fownes訓練的SKY DEEP勝出，贏出N。HAROLD WIN獲得亞軍；SPIRIT OF PEACE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.8倍大熱門SPIRIT OF PEACE跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SKY DEEP 後段發力 V/XB 1.21.43 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · C Fownes | A Hamelin | C Fownes | 10 | 7.3 | N |
| 2 | 3 | HAROLD WIN 後段發力 B-/XB/V1 C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 9 | 7.5 | N |
| 3 | 2 | SPIRIT OF PEACE 後段發力 R Moore · J Size | R Moore | J Size | 7 | 3.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | LESLIE 後段發力 B K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 3 | 21.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | ANOTHER ZONDA 後段發力 B J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 13 | 33.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | SMART FIGHTER 後段發力 TT K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 11 | 29.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | LUCKY SAM GOR XB L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 6 | 5.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | LEAN MASTER 早段領放 TT P N Wong · C H Yip | P N Wong | C H Yip | 2 | 23.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 14 | KINGLY DEMEANOR TT B Thompson · A S Cruz | B Thompson | A S Cruz | 5 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | FLYING AMANI 後段發力 XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 14 | 66.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 13 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY B/TT A Atzeni · K L Man | A Atzeni | K L Man | 8 | 29.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | ISLAND BREEZES B/TT J Moreira · P C Ng | J Moreira | P C Ng | 1 | 8.8 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 10 | HAPPY SHOOTER B-/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 12 | 41.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 14 | 9 | DOUBLE WIN XB/TT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 4 | 15.0 | 9-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SPIRIT OF PEACE | 17.7% | 5.65 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | LEAN MASTER | 12.6% | 7.95 | 8 |
| 3 | 7 | SKY DEEP | 12.0% | 8.35 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | LUCKY SAM GOR | 11.2% | 8.94 | 7 |
| 5 | 11 | ISLAND BREEZES | 9.8% | 10.20 | 12 |
| 6 | 6 | LESLIE | 6.7% | 14.96 | 4 |
| 7 | 14 | KINGLY DEMEANOR | 5.2% | 19.15 | 9 |
| 8 | 9 | DOUBLE WIN | 5.1% | 19.55 | 14 |
| 9 | 4 | SMART FIGHTER | 5.1% | 19.65 | 5 |
| 10 | 13 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 4.9% | 20.27 | 11 |
| 11 | 3 | HAROLD WIN | 4.3% | 23.33 | 2 |
| 12 | 1 | ANOTHER ZONDA | 2.1% | 48.53 | 5 |
| 13 | 8 | FLYING AMANI | 1.9% | 52.61 | 10 |
| 14 | 10 | HAPPY SHOOTER | 1.5% | 68.07 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 73.5
PLACE
2 19
3 24.5
7 23
QUINELLA
3,7 317.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 70.5
2,7 50.5
3,7 105
FORECAST
7,3 528
TIERCE
7,3,2 1,910
TRIO
2,3,7 241
FIRST 4
2,3,6,7 1,125
QUARTET
7,3,2,6 30,022
全部彩池（另 1 項）
2ND DOUBLE
3/3 34
3/7 139.5