沙田 · 2025-03-26 · 13:50
第 7場
2025-03-26沙田第7場，Class 4，途程1200米。由R Kingscote策騎、P F Yiu訓練的RISING FORCE勝出，贏出2。PATCH OF STARS獲得亞軍；GIMME FIVE獲得季軍。頭馬以3.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | RISING FORCE 1.08.27 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 3 | 3.5 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | PATCH OF STARS TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 9 | 9.9 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | GIMME FIVE B K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 2 | 5.5 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | MONTA FRUTTA H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 13.0 | 6 |
| 5 | 8 | COLOURFUL WINNER CP M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 6 | 19.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | VULCANUS A Atzeni · Y S Tsui | A Atzeni | Y S Tsui | 10 | 13.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | DAILY TROPHY B/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 11 | 18.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | FORTUNE WARRIOR P/XB/TT L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 4 | 5.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | FUN N GLORY B/XB P N Wong · D J Hall | P N Wong | D J Hall | 1 | 9.2 | 10-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | JOLLY JUMPER CP/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 7 | 17.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | TAIHANG SCENERY H/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 5 | 37.0 | 12 |
| 12 | 4 | ARDEN PC1/TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 12 | 121.0 | 14-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | FUN N GLORY | 20.5% | 4.89 | 9 |
| 2 | 2 | FORTUNE WARRIOR | 17.1% | 5.86 | 8 |
| 3 | 12 | GIMME FIVE | 13.3% | 7.52 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | VULCANUS | 8.8% | 11.34 | 6 |
| 5 | 1 | MONTA FRUTTA | 7.7% | 13.02 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | PATCH OF STARS | 7.3% | 13.72 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | RISING FORCE | 6.7% | 14.91 | 1 |
| 8 | 7 | DAILY TROPHY | 6.2% | 16.02 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | JOLLY JUMPER | 5.0% | 19.88 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | COLOURFUL WINNER | 3.6% | 27.75 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | TAIHANG SCENERY | 2.3% | 43.22 | 11 |
| 12 | 4 | ARDEN | 1.5% | 67.02 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 35.5
PLACE
3 17.5
5 27.5
12 20
QUINELLA
3,5 196.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 68.5
3,12 53
5,12 98.5
FORECAST
3,5 324
TIERCE
3,5,12 2,103
TRIO
3,5,12 404
FIRST 4
1,3,5,12 1,334
QUARTET
3,5,12,1 21,846
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,10/3,5,12 36,578
6TH DOUBLE
10/3 548.5
10/5 178.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,4,11/3,4,10/3,5,12 1,479,919
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,4,11/3,4,10/Any Combination 6,513