沙田 · 2025-03-26 · 11:50
第 3場
2025-03-26沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1650米。由R Kingscote策騎、P F Yiu訓練的CHILL KAKA勝出，贏出3-3/4。RUN RUN TIMING獲得亞軍；PHANTOM CYCLONE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以4.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CHILL KAKA 後段發力 V 1.38.05 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 9 | 4.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | RUN RUN TIMING 早段領放 B-/TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 1 | 5.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | PHANTOM CYCLONE 後段發力 B/TT Y L Chung · T P Yung | Y L Chung | T P Yung | 2 | 79.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | THESIS 後段發力 TT A Atzeni · Y S Tsui | A Atzeni | Y S Tsui | 10 | 9.2 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | VON BAER 後段發力 B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 5 | 19.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 13 | PERFECT PAIRING 後段發力 B-/PC2/TT1 A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 8 | 32.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | LUCKY IMPACT 後段發力 CP- M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 6 | 12.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | APOLAR FIGHTER 後段發力 B-/PC1/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 12 | 26.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | SPANGLE FORTUNE B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 11 | 8.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | THE WAY WE WIN 後段發力 B-/PC1/TT D McDonogh · J Richards | D McDonogh | J Richards | 4 | 180.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 2 | SHANGHAI STYLE B P N Wong · C S Shum | P N Wong | C S Shum | 14 | 6.6 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | ROMAN CROWN B/TT1 J Orman · P C Ng | J Orman | P C Ng | 7 | 23.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 13 | 14 | ALL EYES ON ME B- M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 3 | 61.0 | 15 |
| 14 | 7 | LUCKY BANNER TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 13 | 6.8 | 17 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SHANGHAI STYLE | 18.5% | 5.39 | 11 |
| 2 | 1 | THESIS | 17.3% | 5.80 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | CHILL KAKA | 11.3% | 8.85 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | RUN RUN TIMING | 9.5% | 10.48 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | LUCKY BANNER | 8.2% | 12.19 | 14 |
| 6 | 4 | ROMAN CROWN | 8.1% | 12.40 | 12 |
| 7 | 13 | PERFECT PAIRING | 8.0% | 12.57 | 6 |
| 8 | 9 | SPANGLE FORTUNE | 5.0% | 20.08 | 9 |
| 9 | 10 | LUCKY IMPACT | 4.1% | 24.55 | 7 |
| 10 | 12 | APOLAR FIGHTER | 4.0% | 25.21 | 8 |
| 11 | 3 | VON BAER | 2.1% | 47.47 | 5 |
| 12 | 11 | PHANTOM CYCLONE | 2.0% | 50.23 | 3 |
| 13 | 6 | THE WAY WE WIN | 1.1% | 88.49 | 10 |
| 14 | 14 | ALL EYES ON ME | 0.9% | 112.20 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 44.5
PLACE
5 18.5
8 21.5
11 162
QUINELLA
5,8 155
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 63
5,11 520
8,11 498
FORECAST
5,8 360
TIERCE
5,8,11 13,251
TRIO
5,8,11 3,052
FIRST 4
1,5,8,11 4,962
QUARTET
5,8,11,1 105,293
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
5,8,9/5,8,11 97,478
2ND DOUBLE
5/5 254.5
5/8 66