沙田 · 2025-03-26 · 13:20
第 6場
2025-03-26沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1650米。由R Kingscote策騎、D Eustace訓練的FASHION LEGEND勝出，贏出1-1/2。CHARMING STEED獲得亞軍；PRECISION GOAL獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.2倍大熱門PRECISION GOAL跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | FASHION LEGEND 後段發力 1.38.42 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） R Kingscote · D Eustace | R Kingscote | D Eustace | 4 | 9.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | CHARMING STEED TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 10 | 8.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | PRECISION GOAL 早段領放 TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 6 | 3.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 12 | SILVER KING 後段發力 H/P/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 8 | 58.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 9 | QINGYUAN STAR B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 7 | 30.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | ALL ARE MINE 後段發力 H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 21.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | FOREVER FOLKS 後段發力 B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 5 | 5.6 | 5 |
| 8 | 6 | VIVA CHALEUR 後段發力 H/PC/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 12 | 5.8 | 6 |
| 9 | 13 | FLYING SILVER CP/TT P N Wong · C S Shum | P N Wong | C S Shum | 1 | 19.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 14 | LUCKY GOLD B-/V1 M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 3 | 40.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | STORMI TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 13 | 19.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | ESCAPE ROUTE 後段發力 H/P A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 14 | 13.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 2 | I P O BROS J Orman · D A Hayes | J Orman | D A Hayes | 11 | 85.0 | 16-1/2 |
| 14 | 11 | CONFRINGO V/TT H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 9 | 58.0 | 36-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | PRECISION GOAL | 20.3% | 4.92 | 3 |
| 2 | 6 | VIVA CHALEUR | 10.8% | 9.29 | 8 |
| 3 | 8 | ESCAPE ROUTE | 10.0% | 9.98 | 12 |
| 4 | 5 | FOREVER FOLKS | 8.4% | 11.92 | 7 |
| 5 | 10 | FASHION LEGEND | 7.1% | 14.00 | 1 |
| 6 | 11 | CONFRINGO | 7.0% | 14.38 | 14 |
| 7 | 4 | CHARMING STEED | 5.9% | 16.85 | 2 |
| 8 | 13 | FLYING SILVER | 5.6% | 17.90 | 9 |
| 9 | 9 | QINGYUAN STAR | 4.8% | 20.69 | 5 |
| 10 | 14 | LUCKY GOLD | 4.8% | 20.74 | 10 |
| 11 | 2 | I P O BROS | 4.4% | 22.89 | 13 |
| 12 | 7 | ALL ARE MINE | 4.3% | 23.18 | 6 |
| 13 | 12 | SILVER KING | 4.3% | 23.44 | 4 |
| 14 | 1 | STORMI | 2.3% | 44.02 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 99.5
PLACE
3 14
4 27
10 36.5
QUINELLA
4,10 565.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 51
3,10 79
4,10 171
FORECAST
10,4 1,089
TIERCE
10,4,3 4,661
TRIO
3,4,10 675
FIRST 4
3,4,10,12 7,735
QUARTET
10,4,3,12 153,293
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
11/4 324.5
11/10 2,212