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Sha Tin · 2025-03-26 · 13:20

Race 6

Class 4 1650m 14 runners

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-26 was Class 4 over 1650m. FASHION LEGEND, ridden by R Kingscote and trained by D Eustace, won by 1-1/2, with CHARMING STEED second and PRECISION GOAL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite PRECISION GOAL finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1.38.42
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 FASHION LEGEND Closed strongly 1.38.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Kingscote · D Eustace 4 9.9 1-1/2
2 4 CHARMING STEED TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 10 8.0 1-1/2
3 3 PRECISION GOAL Led early TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes 6 3.2 2-1/4
4 12 SILVER KING Closed strongly H/P/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor 8 58.0 4
5 9 QINGYUAN STAR B M F Poon · D J Hall 7 30.0 4-1/2
6 7 ALL ARE MINE Closed strongly H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 2 21.0 4-3/4
7 5 FOREVER FOLKS Closed strongly B Thompson · C W Chang 5 5.6 5
8 6 VIVA CHALEUR Closed strongly H/PC/TT K Teetan · P C Ng 12 5.8 6
9 13 FLYING SILVER CP/TT P N Wong · C S Shum 1 19.0 6-3/4
10 14 LUCKY GOLD B-/V1 M L Yeung · K W Lui 3 40.0 7-1/4
11 1 STORMI TT C L Chau · T P Yung 13 19.0 7-3/4
12 8 ESCAPE ROUTE Closed strongly H/P A Atzeni · J Size 14 13.0 9-1/2
13 2 I P O BROS J Orman · D A Hayes 11 85.0 16-1/2
14 11 CONFRINGO V/TT H Bentley · W K Mo 9 58.0 36-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FASHION LEGEND2. CHARMING STEED+1.5L3. PRECISION GOAL+2.25L4. SILVER KING+4L5. QINGYUAN STAR+4.5L6. ALL ARE MINE+4.75L7. FOREVER FOLKS+5L8. VIVA CHALEUR+6L9. FLYING SILVER+6.75L10. LUCKY GOLD+7.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick PRECISION GOAL (20.3%) finished 3rd — the winner FASHION LEGEND was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 PRECISION GOAL 20.3% 4.92 3
2 6 VIVA CHALEUR 10.8% 9.29 8
3 8 ESCAPE ROUTE 10.0% 9.98 12
4 5 FOREVER FOLKS 8.4% 11.92 7
5 10 FASHION LEGEND 7.1% 14.00 1
6 11 CONFRINGO 7.0% 14.38 14
7 4 CHARMING STEED 5.9% 16.85 2
8 13 FLYING SILVER 5.6% 17.90 9
9 9 QINGYUAN STAR 4.8% 20.69 5
10 14 LUCKY GOLD 4.8% 20.74 10
11 2 I P O BROS 4.4% 22.89 13
12 7 ALL ARE MINE 4.3% 23.18 6
13 12 SILVER KING 4.3% 23.44 4
14 1 STORMI 2.3% 44.02 11
PRECISION GOALVIVA CHALEURESCAPE ROUTEFOREVER FOLKSFASHION LEGEND — wonCONFRINGOCHARMING STEEDFLYING SILVERQINGYUAN STARLUCKY GOLDI P O BROSALL ARE MINESILVER KINGSTORMI

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 99.5

PLACE

3 14

4 27

10 36.5

QUINELLA

4,10 565.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 51

3,10 79

4,10 171

FORECAST

10,4 1,089

TIERCE

10,4,3 4,661

TRIO

3,4,10 675

FIRST 4

3,4,10,12 7,735

QUARTET

10,4,3,12 153,293

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

11/4 324.5

11/10 2,212