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Sha Tin · 2025-03-26 · 21:16

Race 6

Class 4 1650m 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.38.42
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 FASHION LEGEND Closed strongly 1.38.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Kingscote · D Eustace 4 9.9 1-1/2
2 4 CHARMING STEED TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 10 8.0 1-1/2
3 3 PRECISION GOAL Led early TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes 6 3.2 2-1/4
4 12 SILVER KING Closed strongly H/P/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor 8 58.0 4
5 9 QINGYUAN STAR B M F Poon · D J Hall 7 30.0 4-1/2
6 7 ALL ARE MINE Closed strongly H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 2 21.0 4-3/4
7 5 FOREVER FOLKS Closed strongly B Thompson · C W Chang 5 5.6 5
8 6 VIVA CHALEUR Closed strongly H/PC/TT K Teetan · P C Ng 12 5.8 6
9 13 FLYING SILVER CP/TT P N Wong · C S Shum 1 19.0 6-3/4
10 14 LUCKY GOLD B-/V1 M L Yeung · K W Lui 3 40.0 7-1/4
11 1 STORMI TT C L Chau · T P Yung 13 19.0 7-3/4
12 8 ESCAPE ROUTE Closed strongly H/P A Atzeni · J Size 14 13.0 9-1/2
13 2 I P O BROS J Orman · D A Hayes 11 85.0 16-1/2
14 11 CONFRINGO V/TT H Bentley · W K Mo 9 58.0 36-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-26 was Class 4 over 1650m. FASHION LEGEND, ridden by R Kingscote and trained by D Eustace, won by 1-1/2, with CHARMING STEED second and PRECISION GOAL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite PRECISION GOAL finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FASHION LEGEND—2. CHARMING STEED+1.5L3. PRECISION GOAL+2.25L4. SILVER KING+4L5. QINGYUAN STAR+4.5L6. ALL ARE MINE+4.75L7. FOREVER FOLKS+5L8. VIVA CHALEUR+6L9. FLYING SILVER+6.75L10. LUCKY GOLD+7.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick PRECISION GOAL (20.3%) finished 3rd — the winner FASHION LEGEND was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 PRECISION GOAL 20.3% 4.92 3
2 6 VIVA CHALEUR 10.8% 9.29 8
3 8 ESCAPE ROUTE 10.0% 9.98 12
4 5 FOREVER FOLKS 8.4% 11.92 7
5 10 FASHION LEGEND 7.1% 14.00 1
6 11 CONFRINGO 7.0% 14.38 14
7 4 CHARMING STEED 5.9% 16.85 2
8 13 FLYING SILVER 5.6% 17.90 9
9 9 QINGYUAN STAR 4.8% 20.69 5
10 14 LUCKY GOLD 4.8% 20.74 10
11 2 I P O BROS 4.4% 22.89 13
12 7 ALL ARE MINE 4.3% 23.18 6
13 12 SILVER KING 4.3% 23.44 4
14 1 STORMI 2.3% 44.02 11
PRECISION GOALVIVA CHALEURESCAPE ROUTEFOREVER FOLKSFASHION LEGEND — wonCONFRINGOCHARMING STEEDFLYING SILVERQINGYUAN STARLUCKY GOLDI P O BROSALL ARE MINESILVER KINGSTORMI

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 99.5

PLACE

3 14

4 27

10 36.5

QUINELLA

4,10 565.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 51

3,10 79

4,10 171

FORECAST

10,4 1,089

TIERCE

10,4,3 4,661

TRIO

3,4,10 675

FIRST 4

3,4,10,12 7,735

QUARTET

10,4,3,12 153,293

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

11/4 324.5

11/10 2,212