Sha Tin · 2025-03-26 · 14:55
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-26 was Class 3 over 1200m. MUST GO, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/2, with DRAGON AIR FORCE second and GUMMY GUMMY third. Victory came as the 4.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | MUST GO E/PC/TT 1.08.15 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 6 | 4.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | DRAGON AIR FORCE TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 8 | 6.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | GUMMY GUMMY B H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 2 | 6.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | GALAXY WITNESS B/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 9 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | SING DRAGON P N Wong · M Newnham | P N Wong | M Newnham | 11 | 7.2 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | GLORY ELITE H K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 12 | 14.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | G LINER H/P/XB/TT Y L Chung · J Richards | Y L Chung | J Richards | 7 | 32.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | CALL ME GLORIOUS B-/P1 J Orman · K W Lui | J Orman | K W Lui | 10 | 21.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | MASK RIDER TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 3 | 8.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | CANDLELIGHT DINNER H M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 4 | 23.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 3 | SELF IMPROVEMENT B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 5 | 29.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | SPORTS LEGEND B/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 1 | 11.0 | 14-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | DRAGON AIR FORCE | 22.0% | 4.55 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | MUST GO | 14.5% | 6.90 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | MASK RIDER | 11.7% | 8.54 | 9 |
| 4 | 1 | SING DRAGON | 10.9% | 9.17 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | GUMMY GUMMY | 7.9% | 12.65 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | SPORTS LEGEND | 6.9% | 14.43 | 12 |
| 7 | 2 | GLORY ELITE | 6.6% | 15.23 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | SELF IMPROVEMENT | 5.7% | 17.46 | 11 |
| 9 | 4 | CALL ME GLORIOUS | 5.4% | 18.37 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | CANDLELIGHT DINNER | 3.0% | 33.67 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | GALAXY WITNESS | 2.9% | 34.53 | 4 |
| 12 | 11 | G LINER | 2.5% | 40.38 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 41
PLACE
5 22
8 16.5
10 20.5
QUINELLA
8,10 118
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 53.5
5,10 63
8,10 45.5
FORECAST
8,10 228
TIERCE
8,10,5 1,213
TRIO
5,8,10 237
FIRST 4
5,8,9,10 621
QUARTET
8,10,5,9 13,637
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
3/1/8 24,353
3/1/10 2,333
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,11,14/5,8,10 80,284
8TH DOUBLE
1/8 5,153
1/10 700.5
SIX UP
2,10/2,11/4,10/3,5/1,11/8,10 23,267
14 [Others] —
6 [P F Yiu] —