Sha Tin · 2025-03-26 · 11:20
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-26 was Class 5 over 1200m. YEAH BUDDY, ridden by K C Leung and trained by W K Mo, won by 1-1/4, with PATCH OF WATCH second and FLYING PHANTOM third. The 2.3 favourite PATCH OF WATCH finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | YEAH BUDDY TT 1.09.30 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 3 | 7.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 9 | PATCH OF WATCH B/TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 7 | 2.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | FLYING PHANTOM B-/P1 A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 5 | 9.3 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | MODEST GENTLEMAN B/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 9 | 21.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | FALCON COURT B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 6 | 7.1 | 5-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | WIND SPEEDER B M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 10 | 19.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 6 | THE KHAN B Y L Chung · C Fownes | Y L Chung | C Fownes | 2 | 8.1 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | THE PRIME B-/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 1 | 32.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 1 | GLORIOUS EXPERT P2 L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 8 | 41.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 11 | COOL BLUE B-/E1/P1/TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 12 | 10.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | ROMANTIC NOVELIST BO-/XB-/SR1 J Orman · D J Whyte | J Orman | D J Whyte | 4 | 74.0 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | SUPER JOY H/B2 B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 11 | 57.0 | 12-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | PATCH OF WATCH | 26.9% | 3.72 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | FLYING PHANTOM | 16.7% | 6.00 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | THE KHAN | 10.3% | 9.68 | 7 |
| 4 | 7 | FALCON COURT | 9.9% | 10.08 | 5 |
| 5 | 3 | MODEST GENTLEMAN | 7.0% | 14.21 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | YEAH BUDDY | 6.5% | 15.49 | 1 |
| 7 | 11 | COOL BLUE | 5.1% | 19.58 | 10 |
| 8 | 4 | THE PRIME | 5.1% | 19.77 | 8 |
| 9 | 12 | WIND SPEEDER | 4.5% | 22.12 | 6 |
| 10 | 1 | GLORIOUS EXPERT | 3.4% | 29.51 | 9 |
| 11 | 2 | ROMANTIC NOVELIST | 3.4% | 29.68 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | SUPER JOY | 1.2% | 80.96 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 79.5
PLACE
5 19.5
8 29
9 12
QUINELLA
5,9 98.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 105
5,9 39
8,9 53
FORECAST
5,9 256
TIERCE
5,9,8 1,918
TRIO
5,8,9 315
FIRST 4
3,5,8,9 913
QUARTET
5,9,8,3 18,751
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
4/5 347.5
4/9 24