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Sha Tin · 2025-03-26 · 12:20

Race 4

Class 5 1200m 12 runners

Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-26 was Class 5 over 1200m. CHEER FOR SOUTH, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by F C Lor, won by 2-1/4, with HINOKAMI KAGURA second and FLYING DRAGON third. Victory came as the 3.4 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.09.38
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 CHEER FOR SOUTH PC 1.09.38 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · F C Lor 4 3.4 2-1/4
2 2 HINOKAMI KAGURA BO H Bentley · W Y So 2 4.5 2-1/4
3 9 FLYING DRAGON B- A Hamelin · C H Yip 3 24.0 2-1/2
4 4 SKY PROPHET B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 6 8.6 2-1/2
5 6 FLYING ROMANTIC B K Teetan · D J Hall 1 11.0 4
6 8 DAY DAY VICTORY C L Chau · T P Yung 7 12.0 4-1/2
7 11 DIAMOND SOARS B/TT B Thompson · P F Yiu 8 8.4 4-3/4
8 12 CALIFORNIA ICON B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 12 21.0 5-3/4
9 1 HAPPY TANGO B M F Poon · Y S Tsui 10 31.0 8-1/4
10 3 ORIENTAL TYCOON V-/B1 M L Yeung · C W Chang 5 85.0 8-3/4
11 7 SONIC BOOM TT M Chadwick · W K Mo 9 11.0 9-1/2
12 5 SPEEDY FORTUNE CP-/P2/TT P N Wong · D Eustace 11 14.0 10

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CHEER FOR SOUTH2. HINOKAMI KAGURA+2.25L3. FLYING DRAGON+2.5L4. SKY PROPHET+2.5L5. FLYING ROMANTIC+4L6. DAY DAY VICTORY+4.5L7. DIAMOND SOARS+4.75L8. CALIFORNIA ICON+5.75L9. HAPPY TANGO+8.25L10. ORIENTAL TYCOON+8.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick FLYING ROMANTIC (20.3%) finished 5th — the winner CHEER FOR SOUTH was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 FLYING ROMANTIC 20.3% 4.91 5
2 10 CHEER FOR SOUTH 17.9% 5.58 1
3 2 HINOKAMI KAGURA 10.8% 9.25 2
4 11 DIAMOND SOARS 10.3% 9.74 7
5 7 SONIC BOOM 8.2% 12.19 11
6 5 SPEEDY FORTUNE 7.2% 13.92 12
7 4 SKY PROPHET 6.6% 15.11 4
8 8 DAY DAY VICTORY 5.1% 19.75 6
9 1 HAPPY TANGO 4.1% 24.60 9
10 12 CALIFORNIA ICON 3.9% 25.80 8
11 9 FLYING DRAGON 3.4% 29.35 3
12 3 ORIENTAL TYCOON 2.2% 44.54 10
FLYING ROMANTICCHEER FOR SOUTH — wonHINOKAMI KAGURADIAMOND SOARSSONIC BOOMSPEEDY FORTUNESKY PROPHETDAY DAY VICTORYHAPPY TANGOCALIFORNIA ICONFLYING DRAGONORIENTAL TYCOON

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 34

PLACE

2 19

9 63

10 13

QUINELLA

2,10 79

QUINELLA PLACE

2,9 175

2,10 35

9,10 141

FORECAST

10,2 133

TIERCE

10,2,9 1,847

TRIO

2,9,10 521

FIRST 4

2,4,9,10 725

QUARTET

10,2,9,4 12,805

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

5/2 28

5/10 105.5