Sha Tin · 2025-03-26 · 12:50
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-26 was Class 4 over 1200m. CALIFORNIA STAR, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1/2, with SOLID SHALAA second and PATCH OF TIME third. The 3.3 favourite PATCH OF TIME finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | CALIFORNIA STAR B/TT 1.09.37 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 20.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | SOLID SHALAA B/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 5 | 5.1 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | PATCH OF TIME K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 3 | 3.3 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | NATURAL HIGH B P N Wong · D J Hall | P N Wong | D J Hall | 11 | 4.7 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | SILVER SPURS CP/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 12 | 14.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 10 | SOLAR RIVER CP/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 6 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | REGENCY WIN WIN TT1 C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 10 | 98.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | SUNNY DARLING B/TT J Orman · P C Ng | J Orman | P C Ng | 1 | 8.9 | 3 |
| 9 | 1 | EVERSTAR CP M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 4 | 33.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | LOOKS OUTSTANDING B1/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 9 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 5 | EVERYONE'S GALLOP B-/V1 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 16.0 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | NOBLE GO XB/P1/TT1 A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 7 | 107.0 | 11 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | PATCH OF TIME | 34.7% | 2.88 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | NATURAL HIGH | 16.8% | 5.95 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | SOLID SHALAA | 12.1% | 8.28 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | SOLAR RIVER | 8.1% | 12.29 | 6 |
| 5 | 8 | LOOKS OUTSTANDING | 5.1% | 19.65 | 10 |
| 6 | 7 | SUNNY DARLING | 4.8% | 20.96 | 8 |
| 7 | 6 | REGENCY WIN WIN | 4.5% | 22.31 | 7 |
| 8 | 12 | SILVER SPURS | 4.4% | 22.68 | 5 |
| 9 | 5 | EVERYONE'S GALLOP | 3.6% | 27.81 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | CALIFORNIA STAR | 3.3% | 29.93 | 1 |
| 11 | 1 | EVERSTAR | 1.6% | 63.48 | 9 |
| 12 | 9 | NOBLE GO | 1.0% | 98.58 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 200
PLACE
2 19.5
4 13.5
11 47.5
QUINELLA
2,11 485.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 41
2,11 140
4,11 113.5
FORECAST
11,2 1,178
TIERCE
11,2,4 5,551
TRIO
2,4,11 534
FIRST 4
2,3,4,11 436
QUARTET
11,2,4,3 16,124
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
5/10/2 101
5/10/11 2,625
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,9,10/2,4,11 22,262
4TH DOUBLE
10/2 40
10/11 599.5