沙田 · 2025-03-30 · 07:50
第 6場
2025-03-30沙田第6場，Class 3，途程1000米。由Z Purton策騎、J Richards訓練的LA FORZA勝出，贏出1-1/4。CIRCUIT JOLLY獲得亞軍；AURORA PATCH獲得季軍。頭馬以2.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | LA FORZA B/TT 0.56.61 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 9 | 2.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | CIRCUIT JOLLY B K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 3 | 8.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | AURORA PATCH V M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 8 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | NORTHERN BEACHES CP H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 2 | 26.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | STAR PERFORMER L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 7 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | FAST RESPONDER SR J Orman · D J Whyte | J Orman | D J Whyte | 10 | 41.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | HORSEPOWER XB/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 1 | 3.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | SUPER FORTUNE TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 4 | 9.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | PACKING BOLE CP/TT P N Wong · C S Shum | P N Wong | C S Shum | 5 | 18.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | FLYING TING LOK M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 11 | 47.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | MARVEL AND GOLD H1/TT1 Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 6 | 86.0 | 7-3/4 |
| — | 9 | CARROLL STREET K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HORSEPOWER | 43.6% | 2.29 | 7 |
| 2 | 5 | LA FORZA | 21.4% | 4.68 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | CIRCUIT JOLLY | 7.2% | 13.83 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | PACKING BOLE | 5.7% | 17.39 | 9 |
| 5 | 4 | SUPER FORTUNE | 5.7% | 17.53 | 8 |
| 6 | 10 | AURORA PATCH | 5.3% | 18.70 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | STAR PERFORMER | 2.9% | 34.23 | 5 |
| 8 | 12 | NORTHERN BEACHES | 2.5% | 40.67 | 4 |
| 9 | 6 | MARVEL AND GOLD | 2.3% | 44.00 | 11 |
| 10 | 3 | FAST RESPONDER | 2.1% | 48.17 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | FLYING TING LOK | 1.3% | 77.05 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 25
PLACE
5 14
10 26.5
11 20
QUINELLA
5,11 92.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,10 43
5,11 34.5
10,11 86.5
FORECAST
5,11 147
TIERCE
5,11,10 821
TRIO
5,10,11 233
FIRST 4
5,10,11,12 1,031
QUARTET
5,11,10,12 11,279
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,8,10/5,10,11 192,654
5TH DOUBLE
8/5 1,160.5
8/11 542.5
TRIPLE TRIO
4,8,11/3,8,10/5,10,11 1,505,833
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,8,11/3,8,10/Any Combination 19,476