沙田 · 2025-03-30 · 08:55
第 8場
2025-03-30沙田第8場，Class 4，途程1400米。由A Atzeni策騎、F C Lor訓練的SOUTH STAR勝出，贏出1-1/4。HAPPY UNIVERSE獲得亞軍；HE WAS YOU獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SOUTH STAR 後段發力 TT 1.21.60 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 10 | 2.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | HAPPY UNIVERSE 後段發力 P R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 2 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 14 | HE WAS YOU 早段領放 B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 6 | 9.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 13 | ONLY U 後段發力 B-/CP2/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 1 | 9.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | DRACO CP/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 12 | 9.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | WROTE A NEW PAGE 後段發力 TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 4 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | BLING BLING GENIUS CP-/XB- K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 9 | 45.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | THE AUSPICIOUS 後段發力 H M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 7 | 18.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | ENDUED 後段發力 B-/V1/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 5 | 9.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | CAPITAL LEGEND TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 3 | 17.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 5 | MAX QUE 後段發力 TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 14 | 12.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 8 | CALIFORNIA BLITZ TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 13 | 26.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 4 | RICH HORSE H/XB B Thompson · D J Hall | B Thompson | D J Hall | 11 | 152.0 | 12 |
| 14 | 6 | VIRTUOUS PHANTOM B1 D McDonogh · C H Yip | D McDonogh | C H Yip | 8 | 70.0 | 13-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | DRACO | 15.0% | 6.69 | 5 |
| 2 | 5 | MAX QUE | 13.4% | 7.44 | 11 |
| 3 | 3 | SOUTH STAR | 11.8% | 8.49 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | ENDUED | 10.4% | 9.62 | 9 |
| 5 | 7 | WROTE A NEW PAGE | 9.6% | 10.45 | 6 |
| 6 | 13 | ONLY U | 8.6% | 11.68 | 4 |
| 7 | 1 | CAPITAL LEGEND | 8.0% | 12.43 | 10 |
| 8 | 10 | THE AUSPICIOUS | 5.5% | 18.32 | 8 |
| 9 | 11 | HAPPY UNIVERSE | 5.0% | 20.18 | 2 |
| 10 | 8 | CALIFORNIA BLITZ | 4.6% | 21.64 | 12 |
| 11 | 6 | VIRTUOUS PHANTOM | 3.3% | 30.69 | 14 |
| 12 | 14 | HE WAS YOU | 2.6% | 37.90 | 3 |
| 13 | 9 | BLING BLING GENIUS | 1.7% | 60.25 | 7 |
| 14 | 4 | RICH HORSE | 0.7% | 147.33 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 27.5
PLACE
3 14.5
11 35.5
14 34
QUINELLA
3,11 183.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,11 71
3,14 68
11,14 210
FORECAST
3,11 296
TIERCE
3,11,14 2,304
TRIO
3,11,14 670
FIRST 4
3,11,13,14 1,452
QUARTET
3,11,14,13 22,619
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,4/3,11,14 4,849
7TH DOUBLE
1/3 37.5
1/11 43.5