Sha Tin · 2025-03-30 · 08:55
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-30 was Class 4 over 1400m. SOUTH STAR, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-1/4, with HAPPY UNIVERSE second and HE WAS YOU third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SOUTH STAR Closed strongly TT 1.21.60 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 10 | 2.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | HAPPY UNIVERSE Closed strongly P R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 2 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 14 | HE WAS YOU Led early B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 6 | 9.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 13 | ONLY U Closed strongly B-/CP2/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 1 | 9.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | DRACO CP/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 12 | 9.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | WROTE A NEW PAGE Closed strongly TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 4 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | BLING BLING GENIUS CP-/XB- K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 9 | 45.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | THE AUSPICIOUS Closed strongly H M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 7 | 18.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | ENDUED Closed strongly B-/V1/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 5 | 9.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | CAPITAL LEGEND TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 3 | 17.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 5 | MAX QUE Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 14 | 12.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 8 | CALIFORNIA BLITZ TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 13 | 26.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 4 | RICH HORSE H/XB B Thompson · D J Hall | B Thompson | D J Hall | 11 | 152.0 | 12 |
| 14 | 6 | VIRTUOUS PHANTOM B1 D McDonogh · C H Yip | D McDonogh | C H Yip | 8 | 70.0 | 13-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | DRACO | 15.0% | 6.69 | 5 |
| 2 | 5 | MAX QUE | 13.4% | 7.44 | 11 |
| 3 | 3 | SOUTH STAR | 11.8% | 8.49 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | ENDUED | 10.4% | 9.62 | 9 |
| 5 | 7 | WROTE A NEW PAGE | 9.6% | 10.45 | 6 |
| 6 | 13 | ONLY U | 8.6% | 11.68 | 4 |
| 7 | 1 | CAPITAL LEGEND | 8.0% | 12.43 | 10 |
| 8 | 10 | THE AUSPICIOUS | 5.5% | 18.32 | 8 |
| 9 | 11 | HAPPY UNIVERSE | 5.0% | 20.18 | 2 |
| 10 | 8 | CALIFORNIA BLITZ | 4.6% | 21.64 | 12 |
| 11 | 6 | VIRTUOUS PHANTOM | 3.3% | 30.69 | 14 |
| 12 | 14 | HE WAS YOU | 2.6% | 37.90 | 3 |
| 13 | 9 | BLING BLING GENIUS | 1.7% | 60.25 | 7 |
| 14 | 4 | RICH HORSE | 0.7% | 147.33 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 27.5
PLACE
3 14.5
11 35.5
14 34
QUINELLA
3,11 183.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,11 71
3,14 68
11,14 210
FORECAST
3,11 296
TIERCE
3,11,14 2,304
TRIO
3,11,14 670
FIRST 4
3,11,13,14 1,452
QUARTET
3,11,14,13 22,619
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,4/3,11,14 4,849
7TH DOUBLE
1/3 37.5
1/11 43.5