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Sha Tin · 2025-03-30 · 16:53

Race 8

Class 4 1400m Course A+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.60
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 SOUTH STAR Closed strongly TT 1.21.60 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · F C Lor 10 2.7 1-1/4
2 11 HAPPY UNIVERSE Closed strongly P R Kingscote · K H Ting 2 13.0 1-1/4
3 14 HE WAS YOU Led early B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz 6 9.8 2-1/4
4 13 ONLY U Closed strongly B-/CP2/TT K C Leung · T P Yung 1 9.9 3-1/4
5 12 DRACO CP/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu 12 9.6 3-1/4
6 7 WROTE A NEW PAGE Closed strongly TT C L Chau · C S Shum 4 11.0 3-1/2
7 9 BLING BLING GENIUS CP-/XB- K Teetan · D J Whyte 9 45.0 4-1/4
8 10 THE AUSPICIOUS Closed strongly H M L Yeung · Y S Tsui 7 18.0 4-1/2
9 2 ENDUED Closed strongly B-/V1/TT B Avdulla · J Richards 5 9.3 4-3/4
10 1 CAPITAL LEGEND TT H Bowman · C Fownes 3 17.0 5
11 5 MAX QUE Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · M Newnham 14 12.0 6
12 8 CALIFORNIA BLITZ TT M Chadwick · W K Mo 13 26.0 6-1/2
13 4 RICH HORSE H/XB B Thompson · D J Hall 11 152.0 12
14 6 VIRTUOUS PHANTOM B1 D McDonogh · C H Yip 8 70.0 13-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-30 was Class 4 over 1400m. SOUTH STAR, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-1/4, with HAPPY UNIVERSE second and HE WAS YOU third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SOUTH STAR—2. HAPPY UNIVERSE+1.25L3. HE WAS YOU+2.25L4. ONLY U+3.25L5. DRACO+3.25L6. WROTE A NEW PAGE+3.5L7. BLING BLING GENIUS+4.25L8. THE AUSPICIOUS+4.5L9. ENDUED+4.75L10. CAPITAL LEGEND+5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick DRACO (15.0%) finished 5th — the winner SOUTH STAR was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 12 DRACO 15.0% 6.69 5
2 5 MAX QUE 13.4% 7.44 11
3 3 SOUTH STAR 11.8% 8.49 1
4 2 ENDUED 10.4% 9.62 9
5 7 WROTE A NEW PAGE 9.6% 10.45 6
6 13 ONLY U 8.6% 11.68 4
7 1 CAPITAL LEGEND 8.0% 12.43 10
8 10 THE AUSPICIOUS 5.5% 18.32 8
9 11 HAPPY UNIVERSE 5.0% 20.18 2
10 8 CALIFORNIA BLITZ 4.6% 21.64 12
11 6 VIRTUOUS PHANTOM 3.3% 30.69 14
12 14 HE WAS YOU 2.6% 37.90 3
13 9 BLING BLING GENIUS 1.7% 60.25 7
14 4 RICH HORSE 0.7% 147.33 13
DRACOMAX QUESOUTH STAR — wonENDUEDWROTE A NEW PAGEONLY UCAPITAL LEGENDTHE AUSPICIOUSHAPPY UNIVERSECALIFORNIA BLITZVIRTUOUS PHANTOMHE WAS YOUBLING BLING GENIUSRICH HORSE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 27.5

PLACE

3 14.5

11 35.5

14 34

QUINELLA

3,11 183.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,11 71

3,14 68

11,14 210

FORECAST

3,11 296

TIERCE

3,11,14 2,304

TRIO

3,11,14 670

FIRST 4

3,11,13,14 1,452

QUARTET

3,11,14,13 22,619

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

1,3,4/3,11,14 4,849

7TH DOUBLE

1/3 37.5

1/11 43.5