Sha Tin · 2025-03-30 · 07:50
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-30 was Class 3 over 1000m. LA FORZA, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Richards, won by 1-1/4, with CIRCUIT JOLLY second and AURORA PATCH third. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | LA FORZA B/TT 0.56.61 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 9 | 2.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | CIRCUIT JOLLY B K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 3 | 8.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | AURORA PATCH V M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 8 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | NORTHERN BEACHES CP H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 2 | 26.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | STAR PERFORMER L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 7 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | FAST RESPONDER SR J Orman · D J Whyte | J Orman | D J Whyte | 10 | 41.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | HORSEPOWER XB/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 1 | 3.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | SUPER FORTUNE TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 4 | 9.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | PACKING BOLE CP/TT P N Wong · C S Shum | P N Wong | C S Shum | 5 | 18.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | FLYING TING LOK M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 11 | 47.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | MARVEL AND GOLD H1/TT1 Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 6 | 86.0 | 7-3/4 |
| — | 9 | CARROLL STREET K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HORSEPOWER | 43.6% | 2.29 | 7 |
| 2 | 5 | LA FORZA | 21.4% | 4.68 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | CIRCUIT JOLLY | 7.2% | 13.83 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | PACKING BOLE | 5.7% | 17.39 | 9 |
| 5 | 4 | SUPER FORTUNE | 5.7% | 17.53 | 8 |
| 6 | 10 | AURORA PATCH | 5.3% | 18.70 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | STAR PERFORMER | 2.9% | 34.23 | 5 |
| 8 | 12 | NORTHERN BEACHES | 2.5% | 40.67 | 4 |
| 9 | 6 | MARVEL AND GOLD | 2.3% | 44.00 | 11 |
| 10 | 3 | FAST RESPONDER | 2.1% | 48.17 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | FLYING TING LOK | 1.3% | 77.05 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 25
PLACE
5 14
10 26.5
11 20
QUINELLA
5,11 92.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,10 43
5,11 34.5
10,11 86.5
FORECAST
5,11 147
TIERCE
5,11,10 821
TRIO
5,10,11 233
FIRST 4
5,10,11,12 1,031
QUARTET
5,11,10,12 11,279
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,8,10/5,10,11 192,654
5TH DOUBLE
8/5 1,160.5
8/11 542.5
TRIPLE TRIO
4,8,11/3,8,10/5,10,11 1,505,833
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,8,11/3,8,10/Any Combination 19,476