Sha Tin · 2025-03-30 · 09:30
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-30 was Class 3 over 1200m. AERIS NOVA, ridden by K C Leung and trained by T P Yung, won by SH, with CROSSBORDERPEGASUS second and FORTUNE SUPERNOVA third. The 1.4 favourite CROSSBORDERPEGASUS finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | AERIS NOVA V/XB/TT 1.09.35 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 3 | 18.0 | SH |
| 2 | 5 | CROSSBORDERPEGASUS TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 6 | 1.4 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | FORTUNE SUPERNOVA H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 10 | 59.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | CALL ME GORGEOUS M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 1 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | PACKING POWER CP1/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 2 | 8.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | KA YING VICTORY CP1 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 9 | 32.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 6 | SUNNY DA BEST TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 7 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | CHATEAUNEUF B/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 4 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | BEAUTY CRESCENT TT J Orman · A S Cruz | J Orman | A S Cruz | 11 | 30.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | SAL XB M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 8 | 128.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | MOJAVE DESERT XB/CP2 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 5 | 29.0 | 14-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CROSSBORDERPEGASUS | 74.3% | 1.35 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | SUNNY DA BEST | 8.2% | 12.15 | 7 |
| 3 | 9 | MOJAVE DESERT | 3.7% | 26.94 | 11 |
| 4 | 2 | CHATEAUNEUF | 3.6% | 27.66 | 8 |
| 5 | 4 | BEAUTY CRESCENT | 2.3% | 42.90 | 9 |
| 6 | 1 | PACKING POWER | 1.8% | 55.81 | 5 |
| 7 | 7 | AERIS NOVA | 1.8% | 56.65 | 1 |
| 8 | 10 | CALL ME GORGEOUS | 1.5% | 64.80 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | KA YING VICTORY | 1.5% | 67.78 | 6 |
| 10 | 8 | FORTUNE SUPERNOVA | 1.0% | 101.22 | 3 |
| 11 | 11 | SAL | 0.2% | 433.55 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 189
PLACE
5 10.5
7 31
8 126.5
QUINELLA
5,7 97.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 37.5
5,8 262.5
7,8 1,289.5
FORECAST
7,5 406
TIERCE
7,5,8 22,868
TRIO
5,7,8 2,322
FIRST 4
5,7,8,10 2,814
QUARTET
7,5,8,10 209,617
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
3/5 10.5
3/7 746