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Sha Tin · 2025-03-30 · 05:50

Race 3

Class 4 1200m Course A+3 14 runners

Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-30 was Class 4 over 1200m. JUMBO TREASURE, ridden by K C Leung and trained by W K Mo, won by 2, with LOVING VIBES second and JUBILANT WINNER third. The 1.9 favourite KA YING GLORY finished 14th.

Result

Official · 1.09.40
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 JUMBO TREASURE CP1/TT 1.09.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · W K Mo 13 17.0 2
2 12 LOVING VIBES K Teetan · K W Lui 1 3.5 2
3 6 JUBILANT WINNER V/TT B Thompson · J Richards 7 11.0 2
4 3 SEA EMERALD SR-/CP1 J Orman · P F Yiu 3 6.3 2-1/4
5 5 FORTUNE STAR TT1 L Ferraris · M Newnham 9 107.0 3-1/4
6 9 RUNJEET XB1 H Bowman · D Eustace 11 46.0 3-1/2
7 8 MAGIC COMBO TT H T Mo · C S Shum 4 160.0 4-1/2
8 4 BLAZING BEAM SR H Bentley · K H Ting 12 63.0 5-1/4
9 2 VICTOR THE RAPID XB C L Chau · D J Whyte 8 120.0 6-1/4
10 1 YIU CHEUNG VICTORY SR Y L Chung · C H Yip 5 107.0 6-1/2
11 11 SUPER SICARIO H/XB K De Melo · C Fownes 10 175.0 6-1/2
12 14 DEVILDOM CP M L Yeung · T P Yung 14 85.0 7-1/2
13 13 ROBOT KNIGHT TT A Atzeni · P C Ng 6 38.0 9
14 7 KA YING GLORY TT1 Z Purton · D A Hayes 2 1.9 10

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. JUMBO TREASURE2. LOVING VIBES+2L3. JUBILANT WINNER+2L4. SEA EMERALD+2.25L5. FORTUNE STAR+3.25L6. RUNJEET+3.5L7. MAGIC COMBO+4.5L8. BLAZING BEAM+5.25L9. VICTOR THE RAPID+6.25L10. YIU CHEUNG VICTORY+6.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick KA YING GLORY (36.6%) finished 14th — the winner JUMBO TREASURE was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 KA YING GLORY 36.6% 2.73 14
2 12 LOVING VIBES 20.8% 4.81 2
3 3 SEA EMERALD 9.4% 10.59 4
4 9 RUNJEET 8.3% 12.09 6
5 10 JUMBO TREASURE 5.8% 17.38 1
6 6 JUBILANT WINNER 5.3% 18.81 3
7 13 ROBOT KNIGHT 3.5% 28.17 13
8 5 FORTUNE STAR 3.3% 30.40 5
9 14 DEVILDOM 2.7% 37.69 12
10 4 BLAZING BEAM 1.7% 60.26 8
11 2 VICTOR THE RAPID 1.0% 99.68 9
12 1 YIU CHEUNG VICTORY 0.7% 137.28 10
13 8 MAGIC COMBO 0.5% 201.83 7
14 11 SUPER SICARIO 0.4% 228.66 11
KA YING GLORYLOVING VIBESSEA EMERALDRUNJEETJUMBO TREASURE — wonJUBILANT WINNERROBOT KNIGHTFORTUNE STARDEVILDOMBLAZING BEAMVICTOR THE RAPIDYIU CHEUNG VICTORYMAGIC COMBOSUPER SICARIO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 175

PLACE

6 23

10 39

12 13

QUINELLA

10,12 246

QUINELLA PLACE

6,10 150.5

6,12 44

10,12 71

FORECAST

10,12 586

TIERCE

10,12,6 3,178

TRIO

6,10,12 460

FIRST 4

3,6,10,12 345

QUARTET

10,12,6,3 11,792

All pools (1 more)

2ND DOUBLE

1/10 318.5

1/12 10.5