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Sha Tin · 2025-03-30 · 15:12

Race 5

Group 2 1600m Course A+3 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.34.09
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 STRAIGHT ARRON Closed strongly XB 1.34.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · P F Yiu 2 34.0 HD
2 3 GALAXY PATCH Closed strongly Z Purton · P C Ng 9 2.1 HD
3 10 MOMENTS IN TIME Closed strongly TT H Bentley · C S Shum 1 52.0 1/2
4 6 HAPPY TOGETHER H/TT A Badel · F C Lor 10 12.0 1-1/4
5 2 BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 6 14.0 1-3/4
6 7 RED LION Led early J Orman · J Size 12 24.0 2-1/4
7 12 SUNLIGHT POWER Closed strongly CP/H C L Chau · P F Yiu 3 7.4 3-1/2
8 5 ENSUED K Teetan · J Size 5 11.0 4
9 4 CHANCHENG GLORY B/XB H Bowman · K W Lui 7 5.3 4-1/2
10 1 BEAUTY ETERNAL E A Atzeni · J Size 4 13.0 5-1/2
11 11 NIMBLE NIMBUS V/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu 11 100.0 7-1/4
12 9 LA CITY BLANCHE TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 8 85.0 12

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-30 was Group 2 over 1600m. STRAIGHT ARRON, ridden by M F Poon and trained by P F Yiu, won by HD, with GALAXY PATCH second and MOMENTS IN TIME third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.1 favourite GALAXY PATCH finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. STRAIGHT ARRON—2. GALAXY PATCH+0.2L3. MOMENTS IN TIME+0.5L4. HAPPY TOGETHER+1.25L5. BEAUTY JOY+1.75L6. RED LION+2.25L7. SUNLIGHT POWER+3.5L8. ENSUED+4L9. CHANCHENG GLORY+4.5L10. BEAUTY ETERNAL+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick GALAXY PATCH (25.0%) finished 2nd — the winner STRAIGHT ARRON was rated #10. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 GALAXY PATCH 25.0% 4.01 2
2 4 CHANCHENG GLORY 20.2% 4.94 9
3 12 SUNLIGHT POWER 12.4% 8.08 7
4 1 BEAUTY ETERNAL 8.1% 12.33 10
5 5 ENSUED 7.8% 12.90 8
6 10 MOMENTS IN TIME 7.0% 14.36 3
7 2 BEAUTY JOY 5.7% 17.67 5
8 6 HAPPY TOGETHER 4.1% 24.40 4
9 7 RED LION 2.8% 35.68 6
10 8 STRAIGHT ARRON 2.7% 37.25 1
11 9 LA CITY BLANCHE 2.7% 37.57 12
12 11 NIMBLE NIMBUS 1.7% 58.77 11
GALAXY PATCHCHANCHENG GLORYSUNLIGHT POWERBEAUTY ETERNALENSUEDMOMENTS IN TIMEBEAUTY JOYHAPPY TOGETHERRED LIONSTRAIGHT ARRON — wonLA CITY BLANCHENIMBLE NIMBUS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 345

PLACE

3 11

8 70.5

10 109.5

QUINELLA

3,8 363.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,8 127

3,10 187

8,10 1,286.5

FORECAST

8,3 1,198

TIERCE

8,3,10 26,981

TRIO

3,8,10 3,767

FIRST 4

3,6,8,10 9,560

QUARTET

8,3,10,6 295,075

All pools (2 more)

1ST TREBLE

10/8/3 434

10/8/8 28,665

4TH DOUBLE

8/3 12

8/8 1,110.5