Sha Tin · 2025-03-30 · 07:15
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-30 was Group 2 over 1600m. STRAIGHT ARRON, ridden by M F Poon and trained by P F Yiu, won by HD, with GALAXY PATCH second and MOMENTS IN TIME third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.1 favourite GALAXY PATCH finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | STRAIGHT ARRON Closed strongly XB 1.34.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 2 | 34.0 | HD |
| 2 | 3 | GALAXY PATCH Closed strongly Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 9 | 2.1 | HD |
| 3 | 10 | MOMENTS IN TIME Closed strongly TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 1 | 52.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | HAPPY TOGETHER H/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 10 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 6 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | RED LION Led early J Orman · J Size | J Orman | J Size | 12 | 24.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | SUNLIGHT POWER Closed strongly CP/H C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 3 | 7.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | ENSUED K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 5 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | CHANCHENG GLORY B/XB H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 7 | 5.3 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | BEAUTY ETERNAL E A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 4 | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | NIMBLE NIMBUS V/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 11 | 100.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | LA CITY BLANCHE TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 8 | 85.0 | 12 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GALAXY PATCH | 25.0% | 4.01 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | CHANCHENG GLORY | 20.2% | 4.94 | 9 |
| 3 | 12 | SUNLIGHT POWER | 12.4% | 8.08 | 7 |
| 4 | 1 | BEAUTY ETERNAL | 8.1% | 12.33 | 10 |
| 5 | 5 | ENSUED | 7.8% | 12.90 | 8 |
| 6 | 10 | MOMENTS IN TIME | 7.0% | 14.36 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | BEAUTY JOY | 5.7% | 17.67 | 5 |
| 8 | 6 | HAPPY TOGETHER | 4.1% | 24.40 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | RED LION | 2.8% | 35.68 | 6 |
| 10 | 8 | STRAIGHT ARRON | 2.7% | 37.25 | 1 |
| 11 | 9 | LA CITY BLANCHE | 2.7% | 37.57 | 12 |
| 12 | 11 | NIMBLE NIMBUS | 1.7% | 58.77 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 345
PLACE
3 11
8 70.5
10 109.5
QUINELLA
3,8 363.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 127
3,10 187
8,10 1,286.5
FORECAST
8,3 1,198
TIERCE
8,3,10 26,981
TRIO
3,8,10 3,767
FIRST 4
3,6,8,10 9,560
QUARTET
8,3,10,6 295,075
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
10/8/3 434
10/8/8 28,665
4TH DOUBLE
8/3 12
8/8 1,110.5