Sha Tin · 2025-03-30 · 12:46
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MIGHTY STRENGTH Closed strongly B 2.02.35 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 4 | 5.8 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 14 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS Closed strongly V K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 5 | 8.2 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT Closed strongly CP-/B1/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 11 | 103.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | FIREFOOT TT J Orman · W Y So | J Orman | W Y So | 10 | 50.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | MISSION STRIKE Closed strongly L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 2 | 3.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 13 | YOUTH POWER Led early CP-/B2/TT D McDonogh · D A Hayes | D McDonogh | D A Hayes | 1 | 33.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | VOLCANIC SPARK Closed strongly B Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 6 | 8.5 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 14 | 37.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | GALE SAGA B A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 3 | 20.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | KASA PAPA Closed strongly TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 12 | 16.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | SERANGOON CP/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 8 | 20.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | ACE WAR H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 7 | 10.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 11 | GOOD GOOD B-/V1 B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 9 | 6.8 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 7 | AFFORDABLE B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 13 | 45.0 | 19-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-30 was Class 4 over 2000m. MIGHTY STRENGTH, ridden by M F Poon and trained by P F Yiu, won by 3/4, with MANAGEMENT FOLKS second and ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite MISSION STRIKE finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | VOLCANIC SPARK | 23.3% | 4.29 | 7 |
| 2 | 11 | GOOD GOOD | 11.6% | 8.61 | 13 |
| 3 | 5 | MISSION STRIKE | 11.6% | 8.66 | 5 |
| 4 | 8 | GALE SAGA | 8.5% | 11.77 | 9 |
| 5 | 14 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS | 8.1% | 12.30 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | ACE WAR | 6.9% | 14.59 | 12 |
| 7 | 4 | MIGHTY STRENGTH | 6.4% | 15.56 | 1 |
| 8 | 12 | KASA PAPA | 5.6% | 17.94 | 10 |
| 9 | 13 | YOUTH POWER | 4.8% | 20.72 | 6 |
| 10 | 3 | SERANGOON | 3.8% | 26.61 | 11 |
| 11 | 1 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY | 2.9% | 34.29 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | FIREFOOT | 2.9% | 34.85 | 4 |
| 13 | 7 | AFFORDABLE | 2.4% | 40.96 | 14 |
| 14 | 9 | ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT | 1.2% | 81.35 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 58
PLACE
4 20.5
9 257.5
14 22
QUINELLA
4,14 251
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 1,001
4,14 80.5
9,14 1,248.5
FORECAST
4,14 479
TIERCE
4,14,9 45,765
TRIO
4,9,14 8,823
FIRST 4
4,9,10,14 48,014
QUARTET
4,14,9,10 451,516