Sha Tin · 2025-03-30 · 08:20
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-03-30 was Group 2 over 1200m. KA YING RISING, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by 3, with HELIOS EXPRESS second and LUCKY WITH YOU third. Victory came as the 1.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | KA YING RISING 1.08.18 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 6 | 1.0 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | HELIOS EXPRESS H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 1 | 6.4 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | LUCKY WITH YOU L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 4 | 27.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | COPARTNER PRANCE XB J Orman · K W Lui | J Orman | K W Lui | 3 | 78.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | GORGEOUS WIN TT A Atzeni · C S Shum | A Atzeni | C S Shum | 5 | 50.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 2 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 7 | 31.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | MAGIC CONTROL P/TT H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 2 | 62.0 | 10-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | KA YING RISING | 55.9% | 1.79 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | HELIOS EXPRESS | 19.1% | 5.24 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | COPARTNER PRANCE | 7.8% | 12.76 | 4 |
| 4 | 7 | GORGEOUS WIN | 7.6% | 13.22 | 5 |
| 5 | 4 | LUCKY WITH YOU | 4.3% | 23.45 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | MAGIC CONTROL | 2.9% | 34.58 | 7 |
| 7 | 2 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE | 2.5% | 40.20 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 10.5
PLACE
1 10.1
3 11.5
4 20.5
QUINELLA
1,3 14.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 10.5
1,4 19
3,4 29.5
FORECAST
1,3 17
TIERCE
1,3,4 39
TRIO
1,3,4 28
FIRST 4
1,3,4,6 107
QUARTET
1,3,4,6 278
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
5/1 27.5
5/3 37