跑馬地 · 2025-04-09 · 11:15
第 2場
2025-04-09跑馬地第2場，Class 4，途程1200米。由C L Chau策騎、C H Yip訓練的NORTHERN FIRE BALL勝出，贏出1/2。GIDDY UP獲得亞軍；LOVEISINTHEAIR獲得季軍。2.6倍大熱門TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | NORTHERN FIRE BALL H/TT 1.09.55 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 4 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | GIDDY UP TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 1 | 6.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | LOVEISINTHEAIR B/H/TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 2 | 6.4 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | SPICY SPANGLE H/TT A Hamelin · W K Mo | A Hamelin | W K Mo | 3 | 8.1 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | GLORY CLOUD TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 6 | 7.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | SAME TO YOU H/P/TT A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 12 | 20.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 6 | CHILL MASTER TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 5 | 151.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 10 | TEAM HAPPY PC/TT L Hewitson · P C Ng | L Hewitson | P C Ng | 11 | 16.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 11 | TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 9 | 2.6 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | ORIENTAL SURPRISE CP-/B1 E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 7 | 83.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 9 | COSMO NAVIGATOR B M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 10 | 60.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | MASTER OF HUMOR TT1 Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 79.0 | 11 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | LOVEISINTHEAIR | 19.7% | 5.08 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | NORTHERN FIRE BALL | 17.8% | 5.63 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | SPICY SPANGLE | 16.2% | 6.18 | 4 |
| 4 | 11 | TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR | 12.0% | 8.33 | 9 |
| 5 | 1 | GIDDY UP | 10.2% | 9.81 | 2 |
| 6 | 12 | SAME TO YOU | 7.4% | 13.49 | 6 |
| 7 | 8 | GLORY CLOUD | 4.9% | 20.27 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | TEAM HAPPY | 4.0% | 25.12 | 8 |
| 9 | 3 | MASTER OF HUMOR | 3.8% | 26.42 | 12 |
| 10 | 7 | ORIENTAL SURPRISE | 1.7% | 57.19 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | COSMO NAVIGATOR | 1.7% | 59.37 | 11 |
| 12 | 6 | CHILL MASTER | 0.6% | 159.05 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 106.5
PLACE
1 21.5
2 30.5
4 21
QUINELLA
1,2 286.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 89.5
1,4 63.5
2,4 108.5
FORECAST
2,1 612
TIERCE
2,1,4 3,099
TRIO
1,2,4 401
FIRST 4
1,2,4,5 483
QUARTET
2,1,4,5 13,763
全部彩池（另 1 項）
1ST DOUBLE
10/1 58.5
10/2 394.5