跑馬地 · 2025-04-09 · 11:45
第 3場
2025-04-09跑馬地第3場，Class 4，途程1800米。由H Bowman策騎、C S Shum訓練的HARMONY GALAXY勝出，贏出SH。CAN'T GO WONG獲得亞軍；FIREFOOT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HARMONY GALAXY 後段發力 TT 1.49.36 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 10 | 3.6 | SH |
| 2 | 3 | CAN'T GO WONG 後段發力 B/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 4 | 12.0 | SH |
| 3 | 7 | FIREFOOT 後段發力 TT J Orman · W Y So | J Orman | W Y So | 2 | 5.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | S J TOURBILLON 後段發力 SR/TT C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 3 | 17.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | FLOOF TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 12 | 74.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | YOUTH POWER 後段發力 B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 9 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | BRAVE WITNESS 後段發力 XB/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 6 | 9.8 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | TOY SOLTERO 後段發力 SR-/H/XB2 L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 11 | 19.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | ME TIME CP/TT A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 8 | 6.8 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | CHARMING STEED TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 7 | 20.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | YODA'S CHOICE 早段領放 CP/TT L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 5 | 5.6 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | THE WAY WE WIN PC/TT Y L Chung · J Richards | Y L Chung | J Richards | 1 | 138.0 | 13-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | FIREFOOT | 18.0% | 5.56 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | HARMONY GALAXY | 18.0% | 5.56 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | YODA'S CHOICE | 16.8% | 5.95 | 11 |
| 4 | 11 | ME TIME | 12.0% | 8.31 | 9 |
| 5 | 8 | BRAVE WITNESS | 6.4% | 15.63 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | TOY SOLTERO | 5.9% | 17.03 | 8 |
| 7 | 3 | CAN'T GO WONG | 5.5% | 18.03 | 2 |
| 8 | 5 | CHARMING STEED | 5.1% | 19.73 | 10 |
| 9 | 6 | S J TOURBILLON | 4.6% | 21.86 | 4 |
| 10 | 1 | FLOOF | 3.6% | 27.84 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | YOUTH POWER | 3.1% | 32.06 | 6 |
| 12 | 10 | THE WAY WE WIN | 1.0% | 98.94 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 36.5
PLACE
2 15
3 34.5
7 16.5
QUINELLA
2,3 220
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 77.5
2,7 46
3,7 87.5
FORECAST
2,3 372
TIERCE
2,3,7 1,632
TRIO
2,3,7 374
FIRST 4
2,3,6,7 1,252
QUARTET
2,3,7,6 21,477
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,4/2,3,7 20,620
2ND DOUBLE
2/2 346.5
2/3 122.5