沙田 · 2025-04-20 · 06:20
第 4場
2025-04-20沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1600米。由L Ferraris策騎、C H Yip訓練的BRIGHT INHERITANCE勝出，贏出1。HAPPY UNIVERSE獲得亞軍；ETALON OR獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.0倍大熱門ETALON OR跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE 後段發力 B/SR1/TT- 1.33.28 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · C H Yip | L Ferraris | C H Yip | 2 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 14 | HAPPY UNIVERSE 後段發力 P H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 1 | 9.5 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | ETALON OR 後段發力 B A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 13 | 4.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | DOUBLE WIN 後段發力 XB/B1/TT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 6 | 17.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | MISTER DAPPER B/XB/TT B Avdulla · D Eustace | B Avdulla | D Eustace | 14 | 4.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | FORTUNE BOY 後段發力 CP1 K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 9 | 5.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | THE AUSPICIOUS 後段發力 H M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 7 | 25.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | SILVER UP B/TT- A Atzeni · C W Chang | A Atzeni | C W Chang | 11 | 39.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | BEAUTY LIVE V2/TT Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 8 | 25.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 13 | DRAGON SUNRISE L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 3 | 37.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | GALE SAGA 後段發力 B/TT1 J Orman · P C Ng | J Orman | P C Ng | 12 | 39.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | BLUE BARON XB/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 5 | 24.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 13 | 3 | HE WAS ME 早段領放 V/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 4 | 65.0 | 17 |
| 14 | 9 | RAGING RAPIDS TT B Thompson · J Size | B Thompson | J Size | 10 | 18.0 | 20-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ETALON OR | 17.2% | 5.80 | 3 |
| 2 | 14 | HAPPY UNIVERSE | 16.2% | 6.17 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | FORTUNE BOY | 9.6% | 10.40 | 6 |
| 4 | 4 | MISTER DAPPER | 9.4% | 10.60 | 5 |
| 5 | 9 | RAGING RAPIDS | 8.3% | 12.05 | 14 |
| 6 | 6 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE | 8.2% | 12.14 | 1 |
| 7 | 5 | BLUE BARON | 6.4% | 15.50 | 12 |
| 8 | 3 | HE WAS ME | 5.3% | 19.00 | 13 |
| 9 | 2 | BEAUTY LIVE | 4.0% | 24.97 | 9 |
| 10 | 11 | GALE SAGA | 3.7% | 26.72 | 11 |
| 11 | 7 | SILVER UP | 3.2% | 30.82 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | THE AUSPICIOUS | 3.2% | 31.28 | 7 |
| 13 | 12 | DOUBLE WIN | 2.9% | 34.57 | 4 |
| 14 | 13 | DRAGON SUNRISE | 2.2% | 45.99 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 103.5
PLACE
1 16.5
6 29.5
14 28.5
QUINELLA
6,14 444.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 81
1,14 83.5
6,14 123
FORECAST
6,14 909
TIERCE
6,14,1 4,218
TRIO
1,6,14 645
FIRST 4
1,6,12,14 2,662
QUARTET
6,14,1,12 72,994
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,11/1,6,14 29,754
3RD DOUBLE
1/6 479.5
1/14 42