沙田 · 2025-04-20 · 07:15
第 5場
2025-04-20沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1650米。由Z Purton策騎、P F Yiu訓練的CHILL KAKA勝出，贏出1/2。SPANGLE FORTUNE獲得亞軍；FOREVER FOLKS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CHILL KAKA 後段發力 V 1.38.81 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 10 | 2.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | SPANGLE FORTUNE B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 7 | 39.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | FOREVER FOLKS 後段發力 B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 4 | 8.8 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 13 | LUCKY IMPACT 後段發力 M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 9 | 34.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | FASHION LEGEND A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 12 | 9.5 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | VIVA CHALEUR 後段發力 H/PC2/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 11 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | RUN RUN TIMING TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 1 | 6.3 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | PRECISION GOAL 早段領放 BO1/TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 6 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 14 | YOUNG HORIZON CP-/H2 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 2 | 62.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | ALL ARE MINE 後段發力 H/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 14 | 65.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | LUCKY BANNER TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 8 | 27.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 5 | VULCANUS K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 13 | 25.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 12 | PHANTOM CYCLONE B/TT Y L Chung · T P Yung | Y L Chung | T P Yung | 5 | 35.0 | 9 |
| 14 | 7 | GALLANT CROWN B-/P1/TT P N Wong · D A Hayes | P N Wong | D A Hayes | 3 | 37.0 | 12-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CHILL KAKA | 29.6% | 3.38 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | PRECISION GOAL | 15.3% | 6.55 | 8 |
| 3 | 8 | RUN RUN TIMING | 11.7% | 8.54 | 7 |
| 4 | 3 | FASHION LEGEND | 5.7% | 17.60 | 5 |
| 5 | 9 | VIVA CHALEUR | 5.0% | 20.13 | 6 |
| 6 | 4 | FOREVER FOLKS | 4.6% | 21.53 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | SPANGLE FORTUNE | 4.4% | 22.76 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | GALLANT CROWN | 4.2% | 23.87 | 14 |
| 9 | 13 | LUCKY IMPACT | 3.6% | 27.91 | 4 |
| 10 | 12 | PHANTOM CYCLONE | 3.5% | 28.29 | 13 |
| 11 | 5 | VULCANUS | 3.5% | 28.79 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | ALL ARE MINE | 3.4% | 29.31 | 10 |
| 13 | 14 | YOUNG HORIZON | 3.0% | 33.62 | 9 |
| 14 | 10 | LUCKY BANNER | 2.6% | 38.94 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 22.5
PLACE
1 13.5
4 26.5
11 77.5
QUINELLA
1,11 436
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 57
1,11 167
4,11 326.5
FORECAST
1,11 496
TIERCE
1,11,4 3,679
TRIO
1,4,11 1,151
FIRST 4
1,4,11,13 5,246
QUARTET
1,11,4,13 58,652
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST TREBLE
1/6/1 916
1/6/11 6,450
4TH DOUBLE
6/1 222.5
6/11 1,198.5