Sha Tin · 2025-04-20 · 15:11
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CHILL KAKA Closed strongly V 1.38.81 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 10 | 2.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | SPANGLE FORTUNE B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 7 | 39.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | FOREVER FOLKS Closed strongly B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 4 | 8.8 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 13 | LUCKY IMPACT Closed strongly M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 9 | 34.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | FASHION LEGEND A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 12 | 9.5 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | VIVA CHALEUR Closed strongly H/PC2/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 11 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | RUN RUN TIMING TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 1 | 6.3 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | PRECISION GOAL Led early BO1/TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 6 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 14 | YOUNG HORIZON CP-/H2 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 2 | 62.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | ALL ARE MINE Closed strongly H/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 14 | 65.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | LUCKY BANNER TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 8 | 27.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 5 | VULCANUS K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 13 | 25.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 12 | PHANTOM CYCLONE B/TT Y L Chung · T P Yung | Y L Chung | T P Yung | 5 | 35.0 | 9 |
| 14 | 7 | GALLANT CROWN B-/P1/TT P N Wong · D A Hayes | P N Wong | D A Hayes | 3 | 37.0 | 12-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-04-20 was Class 4 over 1650m. CHILL KAKA, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1/2, with SPANGLE FORTUNE second and FOREVER FOLKS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CHILL KAKA | 29.6% | 3.38 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | PRECISION GOAL | 15.3% | 6.55 | 8 |
| 3 | 8 | RUN RUN TIMING | 11.7% | 8.54 | 7 |
| 4 | 3 | FASHION LEGEND | 5.7% | 17.60 | 5 |
| 5 | 9 | VIVA CHALEUR | 5.0% | 20.13 | 6 |
| 6 | 4 | FOREVER FOLKS | 4.6% | 21.53 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | SPANGLE FORTUNE | 4.4% | 22.76 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | GALLANT CROWN | 4.2% | 23.87 | 14 |
| 9 | 13 | LUCKY IMPACT | 3.6% | 27.91 | 4 |
| 10 | 12 | PHANTOM CYCLONE | 3.5% | 28.29 | 13 |
| 11 | 5 | VULCANUS | 3.5% | 28.79 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | ALL ARE MINE | 3.4% | 29.31 | 10 |
| 13 | 14 | YOUNG HORIZON | 3.0% | 33.62 | 9 |
| 14 | 10 | LUCKY BANNER | 2.6% | 38.94 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 22.5
PLACE
1 13.5
4 26.5
11 77.5
QUINELLA
1,11 436
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 57
1,11 167
4,11 326.5
FORECAST
1,11 496
TIERCE
1,11,4 3,679
TRIO
1,4,11 1,151
FIRST 4
1,4,11,13 5,246
QUARTET
1,11,4,13 58,652
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
1/6/1 916
1/6/11 6,450
4TH DOUBLE
6/1 222.5
6/11 1,198.5