Sha Tin · 2025-04-20 · 13:16
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | TOP DRAGON Closed strongly TT1 1.20.76 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 3 | 2.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 2 | GALLANT EPOCH B/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 6 | 6.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | JUBILANT WINNER Closed strongly V/BR1/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 5 | 4.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | GOLDEN LUCK XB/TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 4 | 29.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 13 | JOLLY JUMPER Closed strongly CP-/V1/TT A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 1 | 6.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | FORTUNE STAR Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 10 | 21.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | STRATHPEFFER B J Orman · D J Whyte | J Orman | D J Whyte | 7 | 8.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | ARDEN Closed strongly PC-/B1/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 9 | 153.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | THUNDER BLINK Closed strongly H-/V-/B1/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 13 | 89.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 14 | SHINE BRIGHT Led early B K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 14 | 40.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | I P O BROS B1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 11 | 60.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | REGENCY WIN WIN CP1/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 2 | 56.0 | 11 |
| 13 | 10 | SANDMAN CP1/TT1 K De Melo · D Eustace | K De Melo | D Eustace | 8 | 107.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 14 | 4 | DREAMING WINNER H/TT A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 12 | 36.0 | 12 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2025-04-20 was Class 4 over 1400m. TOP DRAGON, ridden by Z Purton and trained by W Y So, won by 2-1/4, with GALLANT EPOCH second and JUBILANT WINNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | TOP DRAGON | 28.7% | 3.48 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | JUBILANT WINNER | 12.0% | 8.30 | 3 |
| 3 | 11 | STRATHPEFFER | 9.2% | 10.87 | 7 |
| 4 | 2 | GALLANT EPOCH | 9.2% | 10.93 | 2 |
| 5 | 13 | JOLLY JUMPER | 7.2% | 13.89 | 5 |
| 6 | 6 | GOLDEN LUCK | 6.5% | 15.46 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | DREAMING WINNER | 6.1% | 16.29 | 14 |
| 8 | 14 | SHINE BRIGHT | 5.0% | 19.93 | 10 |
| 9 | 10 | SANDMAN | 4.1% | 24.34 | 13 |
| 10 | 7 | FORTUNE STAR | 3.3% | 30.40 | 6 |
| 11 | 5 | THUNDER BLINK | 3.1% | 31.82 | 9 |
| 12 | 9 | REGENCY WIN WIN | 2.5% | 39.89 | 12 |
| 13 | 1 | I P O BROS | 2.1% | 47.77 | 11 |
| 14 | 12 | ARDEN | 0.9% | 105.66 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 25.5
PLACE
2 22
3 12
8 17
QUINELLA
2,3 91.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 37
2,8 52.5
3,8 27
FORECAST
3,2 141
TIERCE
3,2,8 362
TRIO
2,3,8 117
FIRST 4
2,3,6,8 558
QUARTET
3,2,8,6 6,749
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
2/2 36.5
2/3 73.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,8,10/2,3,8 46,133