Sha Tin · 2025-04-20 · 07:45
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-04-20 was Class 2 over 1800m. CALIFORNIATOTALITY, ridden by A Badel and trained by A S Cruz, won by SH, with STEPS AHEAD second and PRAY FOR MIR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.0 favourite BUNDLE AWARD finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY Closed strongly B/TT 1.45.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 5 | 6.2 | SH |
| 2 | 8 | STEPS AHEAD Closed strongly L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 10 | 6.5 | SH |
| 3 | 11 | PRAY FOR MIR CP M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 11 | 13.0 | SH |
| 4 | 7 | BUNDLE AWARD Closed strongly E Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 3 | 2.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | HELENE FEELING Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 6 | 29.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | BRAVEHEARTS Closed strongly M F Poon · M Newnham | M F Poon | M Newnham | 9 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | WINNING DRAGON TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 1 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | FIVE G PATCH Closed strongly TT J Orman · A S Cruz | J Orman | A S Cruz | 7 | 55.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 6 | C P BRAVE Closed strongly V A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 8 | 67.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | VOYAGE SAMURAI Led early B K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 4 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | LA CITY BLANCHE TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 2 | 59.0 | 8-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | BUNDLE AWARD | 49.9% | 2.00 | 4 |
| 2 | 9 | BRAVEHEARTS | 9.8% | 10.19 | 6 |
| 3 | 4 | VOYAGE SAMURAI | 8.1% | 12.36 | 10 |
| 4 | 5 | WINNING DRAGON | 6.1% | 16.33 | 7 |
| 5 | 11 | PRAY FOR MIR | 5.3% | 18.72 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | HELENE FEELING | 4.5% | 22.32 | 5 |
| 7 | 8 | STEPS AHEAD | 4.1% | 24.48 | 2 |
| 8 | 1 | FIVE G PATCH | 3.5% | 28.61 | 8 |
| 9 | 10 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY | 3.5% | 28.74 | 1 |
| 10 | 6 | C P BRAVE | 3.1% | 32.24 | 9 |
| 11 | 3 | LA CITY BLANCHE | 2.1% | 47.53 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 62
PLACE
8 20.5
10 21.5
11 39
QUINELLA
8,10 192
QUINELLA PLACE
8,10 55.5
8,11 108.5
10,11 115
FORECAST
10,8 417
TIERCE
10,8,11 3,447
TRIO
8,10,11 781
FIRST 4
7,8,10,11 251
QUARTET
10,8,11,7 10,753
All pools (3 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,11/8,10,11 163,183
5TH DOUBLE
1/8 26.5
1/10 294
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,6,14/1,4,11/Any Combination 35,296