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Sha Tin · 2025-04-20 · 15:41

Race 6

Class 2 1800m Course C+3 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.45.84
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 CALIFORNIATOTALITY Closed strongly B/TT 1.45.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · A S Cruz 5 6.2 SH
2 8 STEPS AHEAD Closed strongly L Hewitson · K W Lui 10 6.5 SH
3 11 PRAY FOR MIR CP M Chadwick · W K Mo 11 13.0 SH
4 7 BUNDLE AWARD Closed strongly E Z Purton · J Size 3 2.0 1-1/2
5 2 HELENE FEELING Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum 6 29.0 1-1/2
6 9 BRAVEHEARTS Closed strongly M F Poon · M Newnham 9 12.0 2-3/4
7 5 WINNING DRAGON TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 1 10.0 3-1/4
8 1 FIVE G PATCH Closed strongly TT J Orman · A S Cruz 7 55.0 4
9 6 C P BRAVE Closed strongly V A Atzeni · P F Yiu 8 67.0 4-1/2
10 4 VOYAGE SAMURAI Led early B K C Leung · F C Lor 4 12.0 4-3/4
11 3 LA CITY BLANCHE TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 2 59.0 8-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-04-20 was Class 2 over 1800m. CALIFORNIATOTALITY, ridden by A Badel and trained by A S Cruz, won by SH, with STEPS AHEAD second and PRAY FOR MIR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.0 favourite BUNDLE AWARD finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CALIFORNIATOTALITY—2. STEPS AHEAD+0.1L3. PRAY FOR MIR+0.1L4. BUNDLE AWARD+1.5L5. HELENE FEELING+1.5L6. BRAVEHEARTS+2.75L7. WINNING DRAGON+3.25L8. FIVE G PATCH+4L9. C P BRAVE+4.5L10. VOYAGE SAMURAI+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick BUNDLE AWARD (49.9%) finished 4th — the winner CALIFORNIATOTALITY was rated #9. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 BUNDLE AWARD 49.9% 2.00 4
2 9 BRAVEHEARTS 9.8% 10.19 6
3 4 VOYAGE SAMURAI 8.1% 12.36 10
4 5 WINNING DRAGON 6.1% 16.33 7
5 11 PRAY FOR MIR 5.3% 18.72 3
6 2 HELENE FEELING 4.5% 22.32 5
7 8 STEPS AHEAD 4.1% 24.48 2
8 1 FIVE G PATCH 3.5% 28.61 8
9 10 CALIFORNIATOTALITY 3.5% 28.74 1
10 6 C P BRAVE 3.1% 32.24 9
11 3 LA CITY BLANCHE 2.1% 47.53 11
BUNDLE AWARDBRAVEHEARTSVOYAGE SAMURAIWINNING DRAGONPRAY FOR MIRHELENE FEELINGSTEPS AHEADFIVE G PATCHCALIFORNIATOTALITY — wonC P BRAVELA CITY BLANCHE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 62

PLACE

8 20.5

10 21.5

11 39

QUINELLA

8,10 192

QUINELLA PLACE

8,10 55.5

8,11 108.5

10,11 115

FORECAST

10,8 417

TIERCE

10,8,11 3,447

TRIO

8,10,11 781

FIRST 4

7,8,10,11 251

QUARTET

10,8,11,7 10,753

All pools (3 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

1,4,11/8,10,11 163,183

5TH DOUBLE

1/8 26.5

1/10 294

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,6,14/1,4,11/Any Combination 35,296